aermod-basictraining06
Transcript of aermod-basictraining06
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Design by Nancy Ellefson
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Minnesota Air, Water, andMinnesota Air, Water, andWaste Environmental Conf.Waste Environmental Conf.
Air Modeling – Training (8am-noon)
Sheraton Bloomington Hotel, Atrium 7
February 14, 2006
Chris Nelson & Dennis Becker
Minnesota Pollution Control Agency
X:\Old_P_Fox\AQPRJ\TOXTEAM\ModelTraining\
aq-ppt1-05
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Air Modeling (98 Slides) Air Modeling (98 Slides)
AERMOD Status and MPCA “Draft” Data
AERMOD Urban Modeling Developments Metropolitan Statistical Areas and Micropolitan Statistical Areas
New MPCA NAAQS/MAAQS Feature: FAR Data
Break - slide 40
Rochester and Olmsted County SIP Work RPU-Silver Lake Plant Sensitivity Analyses
Break - slide 75
AERA/RASS with supplemental Post-RASS Option
Fugitive PM10 emissions: roads, cooling towers, etc.
VISCREEN (Nearby areas v. Class I areas)
Future Possibilities
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AERMOD AERMOD
AERMOD promulgated Nov. 9, 2005
AERMOD/AERMAP/AERMET (04300) AERSCREEN (early 2006?)
AERSURFACE (mid 2006?)
First PSD Project: RPU (March 2003)
MPCA “Trial” Data (September 2004)
MPCA “Draft” Data (October 2005) http://www.pca.state.mn.us/air/modeling-data2.html
See next 15 slides
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MPCA “Draft” Data for AERMODMPCA “Draft” Data for AERMOD
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MPCA “Draft” Data for AERMODMPCA “Draft” Data for AERMOD
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AERMAP “Draft” Data AERMAP “Draft” Data
AERMAP (04300) released Dec. 2005
USGS 7.5 minute DEM files (Refined) “Close-in” receptors (within ~10 km)
“Distant” receptors too, if easy to doUSGS 1-degree DEM files (Screening)
Maybe “Distant” receptors (beyond ~10 km)Beware of AERMAP 03107 bugs
Verify! Compare with DRG TOPO maps!
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AERMET “Draft” Data AERMET “Draft” Data
[National Weather Service (NWS)][National Weather Service (NWS)] Standard Meteorological Parameters
Wind speed, wind direction, temperature, etc.
Additional Land Use Land Cover Parameters
Albedo (solar reflection)• Dark soil~0.1; snow cover~0.5
Bowen Ratio (moisture term)
• Lower values for wet conditions• Higher values for dry conditions
Roughness Height (surface roughness)• Grass<0.1m; cropland~0.2m; dense forest~1m; big city~1m
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AERMET “Draft” Data AERMET “Draft” Data
[National Weather Service (NWS)][National Weather Service (NWS)]Nine Surface Stations
Minnesota Sites: INL, HIB, DLH, MSP, RST Adjacent States: FAR, SXF, EAU, LAC
Mostly 1986-1990 (Hibbing: 1972-1976)National Land Cover Data (NLCD)
Draft Values (Albedo, Bowen Ratio, Zo)
Two Upper Air Stations (INL, STC)
Processed each 0.5 degrees lat./long.
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NWS Sites (Yellow Stars) &NWS Sites (Yellow Stars) &
Processed Sites (Red Dots)Processed Sites (Red Dots)
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AERMET “Draft” Surface Data AERMET “Draft” Surface Data
Compare project site vs. NWS sites:
Prevailing winds (annual, season, month?)Land Use Land Cover (LULC)
• Monthly and annual values
• Twelve 30 degree sectors• 3 kilometer radius
Roughness Height (Zo) very important
Albedo and Bowen Ratio less important
Select most representative NWS site
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AERMET “Draft” Surface Data AERMET “Draft” Surface Data
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AERMET “Draft” Surface Data AERMET “Draft” Surface Data
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AERMET AERMET – – Roughness HeightsRoughness Heights
(NNE Sector(NNE Sector – – Monthly Values)Monthly Values)Draft AERMET "SITE_CHAR": Zo(M) for Sector 1 (by Site and Month)
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0.20
0.40
0.60
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1.00
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Z o ( M )
INL
HIB
DLHNSD
MSP
EAU
LAC
RST
SXF
FAR
Month Id. (1=Jan, 2=Feb, 3=Mar, …, 12=Dec)
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AERMET AERMET – – Roughness HeightsRoughness Heights
(ALL 12 Sectors(ALL 12 Sectors – – Monthly Values)Monthly Values)Draft AERMET "SITE_CHAR": Zo(M) (12 Sectors & 12 Months [144 Values])
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
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12 Sectors * 12 Months
Z o ( M )
INL
HIB
DLH
NSD
MSP
EAU
LAC
RST
SXF
FAR
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AERMET AERMET – – Roughness HeightsRoughness Heights
(Northern MN(Northern MN – – All 12 Sectors) All 12 Sectors)Draft AERMET "SITE_CHAR": Zo(M) (12 Sectors & 12 Months [144 Values])
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0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1 13 25 37 49 61 73 85 97 109 121 133
12 Sectors * 12 Months
Z o ( M )
INL
HIB
DLH
NSD
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AERMET AERMET – – Roughness HeightsRoughness Heights
(Southern MN(Southern MN – – All 12 Sectors) All 12 Sectors)Draft AERMET "SITE_CHAR": Zo(M) (12 Sectors & 12 Months [144 Values])
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0.20
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0.60
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1.20
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12 Sectors * 12 Months
Z o ( M ) RST
SXF
FAR
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AERMET “Draft” Upper Air Data AERMET “Draft” Upper Air Data
Generally use INL in northern MN
Generally use STC in southern MNLess important than selecting surface site
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AERMOD Summary AERMOD Summary
MPCA expects AERMOD (04300): State Air Emission Risk Analyses (AERA)
Federal PSD and SIP modeling
Possible Exceptions: Screening
Residual Title V modeling (state requirement)
Miscellaneous non-regulatory applications
Questions?
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AERMOD AERMOD – – Urban ApplicationsUrban Applications
“AERMOD Implementation Guide”
“Urban Determination”• “Selecting population data for AERMOD’s urban mode”
• See Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) web sites
– See next slide for examples
U. S. Census Bureau Web site:
http://www.census.gov/population/www/estimates/metrodef.html “OMB Bulletin No. 05-02”
• Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA)
– Also includes Micropolitan Statistical Areas
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Some MSA Web SitesSome MSA Web Sites
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AERMOD AERMOD -- Urban ApplicationsUrban Applications
“AERMOD Implementation Guide”
“Urban Determination”• “Selecting population data for AERMOD’s urban mode”
• See Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) web sites
U. S. Census Bureau Web site: http://www.census.gov/population/www/estimates/metrodef.html
“OMB Bulletin No. 05-02”• Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA)
– Also includes Micropolitan Statistical Areas
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MSA Definitions & InformationMSA Definitions & Information
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OMB Bulletin No. 05OMB Bulletin No. 05--0202
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OMB Bulletin No. 05OMB Bulletin No. 05--02 (Appendix)02 (Appendix)
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Appendix Appendix – – List of Statistical AreasList of Statistical Areas
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Metropolitan Statistical Areas andMetropolitan Statistical Areas and
MicropolitanMicropolitan Statistical Areas in MinnesotaStatistical Areas in Minnesota
Metropolitan Statistical AreasMetropolitan Statistical Areas
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Metropolitan Statistical AreasMetropolitan Statistical Areas
andand MicropolitanMicropolitan Statistical AreasStatistical Areas
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Metropolitan Statistical Areas andMetropolitan Statistical Areas and
MicropolitanMicropolitan Statistical Areas in Northern MNStatistical Areas in Northern MN
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Metropolitan Statistical Areas andMetropolitan Statistical Areas and
MicropolitanMicropolitan Statistical Areas in Southern MNStatistical Areas in Southern MN
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Urban GuidanceUrban Guidance – – Stay TunedStay Tuned
More Urban Guidance (Pending)
Just know this out there (for now)Questions?
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NAAQS AnalysesNAAQS Analyses -- FAR IdeasFAR Ideas
First-Approximation Run (FAR) Approach
First-Approximation Regional (FAR) Sources EPA 1999 AirData (PM10, SO2, NOx)
893 facilities: 1 volume source per facility
1 regional/county area source [AREACIRC]
Lower Background Concentrations
Process (Tentative) 5-year runs find design receptors w/key FAR sources
Event runs find design values with all FAR sources
EPA Facility “EPA Facility “AirDataAirData” (1999)” (1999)
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EPA Facility EPA Facility AirData AirData (1999) (1999)
MPCA “FAR” SourcesMPCA “FAR” Sources
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MPCA FAR SourcesMPCA FAR Sources
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NAAQS AnalysesNAAQS Analyses -- FAR IdeasFAR Ideas
First-Approximation Run (FAR) Approach
893 Facilities (1 volume source/facility) Release Height depends on SO2
Sigma-Y (~20m) and Sigma-Z (~10m)
EMISFACT scalars for facilities < 50km
• Re-computed for each project location!!! No EMISFACT scalars for facilities > 50km
1 regional/county area source [AREACIRC] Release Height (~10m)
Radius (50,000m)
Sigma-Z (0m)
No EMISFACT scalars
FAR Release HeightsFAR Release Heights
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FAR Release HeightsFAR Release Heights
200m for SO2 greater than 20000 tpy
150m for SO2 from 10000 to 20000 tpy
100m for SO2 from 5000 to 10000 tpy
50m for SO2 from 1000 to 5000 tpy
25m for SO2 from 100 to 1000 tpy
20m for SO2 from 50 to 100 tpy
15m for SO2 from 10 to 50 tpy
10m for SO2 less than 10 tpy
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FAR EMISFACT ScalarsFAR EMISFACT Scalars
Facilities within 50km of project site EMISFACT varies by averaging time & distance (<50km)
Surrogate for maximum allowable emissions Simple, fast, easy (and still under construction)
Site-Specific: re-computed for each project site!
Beware of close-in facilities – see EMISFACT warning messages
(less important to most important):• “** SPOT CHK”
• “** FULL CHK”
• “** REFINE: ”
Facilities beyond 50km of project site No EMISFACT scalars
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FAR EMISFACT ScalarsFAR EMISFACT Scalars
Goal: Estimate maximum allowable emissions
Download actual annual average emissions from EPA web site
Apply EMISFACT scalar for FAR sources within 50km of project site• Vary by averaging time (1, 3, 24-hour, and annual)
• Vary by distance within 50 kilometers
No EMISFACT scalar beyond 50km of project site. Rationale:• Various atmospheric removal processes (chemical transformation,
deposition, gravitational settling)
• Various anticipated emission reductions (cleaner fuels, BART, CAIR, MERP)
• General guidance in GAQM Table 9-1 – “Other Sources” with reduced operating levels and reduced operating factors
Calculate distance (km) between project site and each FAR facility
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FAR EMISFACT ScalarsFAR EMISFACT Scalars
Calculate DISTKM (distance [km] to each FAR facility)
Calculate EMISFACT
EF01HOUR = 1000.00 / DISTKM
EF03HOUR = 1000.00 / DISTKM
EF24HOUR = 500.00 / DISTKM EFANNUAL = 100.00 / DISTKM
Annual Examples: EMISFACT = 2.00 at 50.0 km
EMISFACT = 20.0 at 5.00 km
EMISFACT = 200 at 0.50 km
R S
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FAR SummaryFAR Summary
Relatively simple, fast, easy Still under construction (work-in-progress)
Re-compute for each project location EMISFACT scalars
Possible Improvements: Post 1999 data
More pollutants (e.g., CO, Lead, H2S)
More release heights Refined scalars (e.g. by industry sector?)
Questions?
B k
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BreakBreak
Back in 15 Minutes
ROCSIPMA P j tROCSIPMA P j t
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ROCSIPMA ProjectROCSIPMA Project
Rochester and Olmsted County SIPs
PM10 and SO2 Maintenance AreasSeveral Rochester Facilities
Regional Sources (e.g., mobile sources)
• US Highways: 14, 52, and 63• IBM onsite (public) roads
Distant Sources via FAR data
Zero Sources (50km radius, county outline)
ROCSIPMA Summary – Next 32 Slides
ROCSIPMA T kROCSIPMA T k
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ROCSIPMA TasksROCSIPMA Tasks
Data Collection
Work Orders for Key Facilities
Literature values for roads and other sources
• Paved Roads and Highways; Unpaved Roads
• Other Sources (e.g., cooling towers)
“Actual” emissions for distant “FAR” sources
Computational Challenges
Many sources and many receptors “Key” sources for slow, 5-year runs
“ALL” sources for fast, event runs
R h t Hi h A tiR h t Hi h A ti
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Rochester Highway AssumptionsRochester Highway Assumptions
Average Daily Traffic (ADT) Rates
US Highway 14 at 25,000
US Highway 52 at 65,000
US Highway 63 at 25,000
Fleet-average vehicle weight of 5 Tons Paved road silt loading at 0.03 grams/m2
Receptors at 10, 20, 50, 100, 200 meters
Urban Dispersion
“CO URBANOPT 100000 Rochester 0.4”
Mi t T ffi C t D tMi t T ffi C t D t
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Minnesota Traffic Count DataMinnesota Traffic Count Data
R h t ADT (2004 D t )R h t ADT (2004 D t )
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Rochester ADT (2004 Data)Rochester ADT (2004 Data)
R h t Hi h (14 52 63)Rochester Highways (14 52 63)
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Rochester Highways (14,52,63)Rochester Highways (14,52,63)
Rochester Highway 52 ResultsRochester Highway 52 Results
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Rochester Highway 52 ResultsRochester Highway 52 Results
(1986 H1H 24(1986 H1H 24--Hour PM10 = 74 ug/m3)Hour PM10 = 74 ug/m3)
Rochester Highway PM10 TestsRochester Highway PM10 Tests
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g yg y
(ISCST3, ISC(ISCST3, ISC--PRIME, AERMOD)PRIME, AERMOD)
Rochester Public UtilitiesRochester Public Utilities – – Silver Lake PlantSilver Lake Plant
Sensitivity AnalysesSensitivity Analyses
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Sensitivity AnalysesSensitivity Analyses
Receptor Grid 360 polar receptors (36 directions and 10 downwind distances)
94 discrete receptors (property line)
6 Stacks: 4 Boilers and 2 Cooling Towers Group 1: SV03 (SH~90m) minimal building downwash
Group 2: SV01 (SH~61m) moderate building downwash
Group 3: SV02 (SH~61m) moderate building downwash Group 4: SV04 (SH~27m) extreme building downwash
Group 5: CT03 (SH~19m) cooling tower
Group 6: CT02 (SH~14m) cooling tower
7 Fugitive Sources (groups 7-13, respectively)
“ALL” Source Group (group 14)
Site Layout (2D View)Site Layout (2D View)
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Site Layout (2D View)Site Layout (2D View)
Site Layout (2D View)Site Layout (2D View)
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Site Layout (2D View)Site Layout (2D View)
3D View3D View Looking NorthLooking North
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3D View3D View – – Looking NorthLooking North
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Polar ReceptorsPolar Receptors
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Polar ReceptorsPolar Receptors
Discrete ReceptorsDiscrete Receptors
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Discrete ReceptorsDiscrete Receptors
Base Case vs 84 “ABZ” TestsBase Case vs 84 “ABZ” Tests
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Base Case vs. 84 ABZ TestsBase Case vs. 84 ABZ Tests
AERMOD/AERMET/AERMAP (02222) First 100 Days of 1990 (Meteorology)
Base Case: RPU-SLP 24-Hour PM10 Modeling All “urban” LULC [Zo=1m]
84 “ABZ” Combinations [3*4*7=84] 3 Albedos (A=0.1, 0.3, and 0.5) [dark to light]
4 Bowen Ratios (B=0.1, 0.5, 0.9, and 4.0) [wet to dry]
7 Roughness Heights (Zo=0.01, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 1.0,and 1.2 meters) [smooth to rough]
Results: “Percent of Base Case”
Group 1 (SV03)Group 1 (SV03) RuralRural ResultsResults
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Group 1 (SV03)Group 1 (SV03) RuralRural ResultsResults
Group 1 (SV03)Group 1 (SV03) UrbanUrban ResultsResults
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Group 1 (SV03)Group 1 (SV03) UrbanUrban ResultsResults
Groups 1Groups 1--66 RuralRural ResultsResults
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(SV03,SV01,SV02,SV04,CT03,CT02)(SV03,SV01,SV02,SV04,CT03,CT02)
Groups 1Groups 1--66 UrbanUrban ResultsResults
(SV03 SV01 SV02 SV04 CT03 CT02)
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(SV03,SV01,SV02,SV04,CT03,CT02)(SV03,SV01,SV02,SV04,CT03,CT02)
Groups 7Groups 7--1313 RuralRural ResultsResults
(V i F iti S )
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(Various Fugitive Sources)(Various Fugitive Sources)
Groups 7Groups 7--1313 UrbanUrban ResultsResults
(Vario s F giti e So rces)
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(Various Fugitive Sources)(Various Fugitive Sources)
All 14 Groups (6 Stacks, 7 Fugitives, ALL) All 14 Groups (6 Stacks, 7 Fugitives, ALL)
(Urban on Left; Rural on Right)(Urban on Left; Rural on Right)
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(Urban on Left; Rural on Right)(Urban on Left; Rural on Right)
““100 Day Test” Summary100 Day Test” Summary
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y yy y
Tall (~GEP) Stacks Roughness Height is most important
Albedo & Bowen Ratio are less important Intermediate Stacks
Roughness Height is still most important
Albedo & Bowen Ratio are less important
Stub Stacks Roughness Height is not very important
Albedo & Bowen Ratio are not important
Fugitive Sources Roughness Height is most important
Albedo & Bowen Ratio are less important
DISPERSE TestsDISPERSE Tests
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DISPERSE Categories
Cultivated land (Zo~0.01m to 0.2m)50/50 mix (Zo~0.3m to 0.8m)
Deciduous forest (Zo~0.5m to 1.3m)
1986-1990 MSP/STC Meteorology
Rural vs. Urban (pop. 100,000; Zo=1m)
Results in Micrograms per Cubic Meter
DISPERSE ComparisonsDISPERSE Comparisons
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pp
Display Format (Group N; Modeling Method M) N.1 denotes ISCST3
N.2 denotes ISC-PRIME N.3 denotes AERMOD with 100% “urban” LULC
(RPU-Silver Lake [PSD] Project)
N.4 denotes AERMOD with DISPERSE LULC1(cultivated land)
N.5 denotes AERMOD with DISPERSE LULC2
(50/50 mix of cultivated land and deciduous forest) N.6 denotes AERMOD with DISPERSE LULC3
(deciduous forest)
Group 1 (SV03)Group 1 (SV03) RuralRural ResultsResults
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p ( )p ( )
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Groups 1Groups 1--66 RuralRural ResultsResults
(SV03 SV01 SV02 SV04 CT03 CT02)(SV03 SV01 SV02 SV04 CT03 CT02)
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(SV03,SV01,SV02,SV04,CT03,CT02)(SV03,SV01,SV02,SV04,CT03,CT02)
Groups 1Groups 1--66 UrbanUrban ResultsResults
(SV03 SV01 SV02 SV04 CT03 CT02)(SV03 SV01 SV02 SV04 CT03 CT02)
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(SV03,SV01,SV02,SV04,CT03,CT02)(SV03,SV01,SV02,SV04,CT03,CT02)
Groups 7Groups 7--1313 RuralRural ResultsResults
(Various Fugitive Sources)(Various Fugitive Sources)
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(Various Fugitive Sources)(Various Fugitive Sources)
Groups 7Groups 7--1313 UrbanUrban ResultsResults
(Various Fugitive Sources)(Various Fugitive Sources)
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(Various Fugitive Sources)(Various Fugitive Sources)
All 14 Groups (6 Stacks, 7 Fugitives, ALL) All 14 Groups (6 Stacks, 7 Fugitives, ALL)
(Urban on Left; Rural on Right)(Urban on Left; Rural on Right)
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(Urban on Left; Rural on Right)(U ba o e t; u a o g t)
DISPERSE SummaryDISPERSE Summary
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Significant changes from ISC to AERMOD
DISPERSE cases are (surprisingly) similar
Recall: AERMOD and 3 LULC cases
Significant seasonal variability seems to yield
the surprisingly similar results
BreakBreak
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Back in 15 Minutes
AERA/RASS with Q/CHI Sums AERA/RASS with Q/CHI Sums
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AERA option - computationally efficient
Eliminates conservative unpaired events
Input is “Q / CHI” instead of “Q”Output is “Risk” instead of “Concentration”
AERA/RASS with Q/CHI Sums AERA/RASS with Q/CHI Sums
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Input is “Q / CHI” instead of “Q”
Critical Health Index (CHI “concentration standard”)
Past approaches:
Unit emission rates (Q=1 gram/second) Other (MCES) approaches
Equivalent Risk Emission Rate (proposed by Mr.
Dustin Hamari, NRG)• Goal: incorporate into RASS spreadsheet
Q/CHI SumsQ/CHI Sums – – The MathThe Math
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Q/CHI for Source (i) = SUM (Qi,j / Ti)
Q(i,j) denotes source (i) and pollutant (j)
T(j) denotes Toxicity of pollutant (j)
Example: 1 source with M chemicals
Q1/T1 + Q2/T2 + Q3/T3 + … + Qm/Tm
Example: N sources with M chemicals SV001 = SUM (Q1m / Tm) for m=1 to M.
SV002 = SUM (Q2m / Tm) for m=1 to M.
SV003 = SUM (Q3m / Tm) for m=1 to M.
SV00N = SUM (Qnm / Tm) for m=1 to M.
Q/CHI Sums Advantages vs. RASSQ/CHI Sums Advantages vs. RASS
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Less conservative than DISPERSE
Reason: events are paired in time & space
Run many sources (RASS = 10 stacks)
Run all AERMOD source types
Point and Volume
Area (AREA, AREACIRC, AREAPOLY)
Needs no PLOTFILE or POSTFILE files
use PLOTFILE for plots & culpability tables
Q/CHI SumsQ/CHI Sums – – “Disadvantages”“Disadvantages”
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Need separate runs for each risk type 4 runs for total inhalation pathway risks
• Acute, sub-chronic, chronic, cancer
4 runs for total indirect pathway risks
• Farmer non-cancer and cancer
• Resident non-cancer and cancer
4 runs for total multi-pathway risks• Farmer non-cancer and cancer
• Resident non-cancer and cancer
Large AERMOD run times 20 hours for 4 risks with 15 sources & 1140 receptors
Internal calculations-less transparent than RASS Post-RASS software???
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Paved RoadsPaved Roads
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EPA AP42 and EPA Mobile 6.2
MPCA Dual Adjustment (Optional) Includes speed adjustment: (S/30)0.5
• S = Speed in MPH
• Similar to unpaved road speed adjustment
Includes Mobile 6.2 tailpipe emissions• Onsite traffic (cars, trucks, etc.)
• Idling HDDV (heavy duty diesel vehicles)
• Generally small compared to re-entrainment
Dispersion based on Gilles et. Al. Atmospheric Environment (2005), p.2341-2347
Unpaved RoadsUnpaved Roads
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EPA AP42 Guidance
MPCA Guidance (same as EPA?)
Same dispersion as paved roads
Atmos. Environment (2005), p.2341-2347
Road DispersionRoad Dispersion -- Volume SourcesVolume Sources
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Volume Source Parameters (Rochester roads) TOP = 1.7 * Vehicle Height
Release Height = TOP / 2.0 Initial Sigma-Z = TOP / 2.15
Initial Sigma-Y = Spacing / 2.15
• Rochester Examples:• Spacing ~10m for roads with 1 lane each way
• Spacing ~20m for roads with 2 lanes each way
• Spacing ~25m for roads with 3 lanes each way
Reference: Gilles et. al. Atmospheric Environment (2005), p. 2341-2347
AP42 Silt Loading (grams/m2) AP42 Silt Loading (grams/m2)
Section 13.2.1 – Paved Roads
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Section 13.2.1 – Paved Roads AP42 Range for ”Public” Roads (Table 13.2.1-3)
Non-winter Conditions
• 0.6 for ADT<500
• 0.2 for ADT 500-5000
• 0.06 for ADT 5000-10000
• 0.03 for ADT>10000 Winter Conditions
• 2.4 for ADT<500
• 0.6 for ADT 500-5000• 0.12 for ADT 5000-10000
• 0.03 for ADT>10000
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Measured Silt Loading ValuesMeasured Silt Loading Values
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Measured Values in Minnesota (Summer) OSB Manufacturers (Ainsworth [formerly Potlatch] –
Grand Rapids, Bemidji): GR=0.39, B=1.19 g/m2
• Similar facilities
• Both use natural gas and wood
• Silt loadings differ by factor of 3
Cereal Production (N. Gas) (Malt-O-Meal -Northfield): 0.5 g/m2
Soybean Processing (N. Gas, Diesel) (Minnesota
Soybean Processors - Brewster): 0.11 g/m2
Coal-Fired Public Utility (Virginia Public Utilities): 0.67to 9.3 g/m2
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SCAQMD Rule 1186 CertifiedSCAQMD Rule 1186 Certified
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Exposure Profiling MethodExposure Profiling Method
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Exposure Profiling MethodExposure Profiling Method
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MPCA ExpectationsMPCA Expectations -- Silt LoadingSilt Loading
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MPCA Expectations Good documentation for proposed silt loading values
Companies will do some (extensive) on-site testing/cleaning, or use
• AP42 Table 13.2.1-4 (Industrial Facilities)
Permit Requirements Cleaning: sweeping, vacuuming, washing
Frequency: daily, weekly, monthly, annual
Testing: silt loading and/or exposure profiling
Other possible solutions Speed limits
Salt applications only – no sanding EMISFACT scalars (e.g., SHRDOW7)
Silt ContentSilt Content – – Unpaved RoadsUnpaved Roads
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MPCA Title V Default: 10%
EPA AP-42 Range for Industrial SitesMean Silt Content: 4.3 – 24%
Range of Values: 0.2 – 29%
No recent testing in Minnesota
Usual control: paving or watering or
chemical dust suppression
Cooling TowersCooling Towers
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EPA Guidance: AP42 Emission Factors
MPCA Emission Guidance (EPA or below)Reisman and Frisbie
“Calculating Realistic PM10 Emissions from
Cooling Towers”
MPCA Leads Meeting (Jan. 2002)
Model as point sources or volume sources
Fugitive PM10 SummaryFugitive PM10 Summary
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MPCA recommends that proposed silt values be part of themodeling protocol
Silt loading values from Table 13.2.1-3 will be less scrutinized forpublic areas and campus-like cases Public roads/highways (city, county, state, and federal)
Very light industry/manufacturing (e.g., IBM-Rochester)• Often minor or synthetic minor sources
Schools, universities, hospitals, R&D sites, etc.• Unpaved areas/shoulders are red flags (track-out)
Good Behavior: ISO14001, approved EMS, aggressive testing, etc.
Silt loading values from Table 13.2.1-3 will be closely scrutinized forindustrial facilities – examples (often major or PSD sources): Moderate industry (e.g., agriculture, ethanol)
Heavy industry (e.g., refinery, paper mill, mining)
VISCREENVISCREEN
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EPA model for visibility screening
Class I Areas
Class II (Near Field) Visibility Analysis
EPA Region V Requests
Citizen Complaints Does not address some issues (e.g., steam plumes)
What should be the criteria for “passing”?
• 1.0 * Class I values?• 2.0 * Class I values??
• 3.0 * Class I values???
Future PossibilitiesFuture Possibilities
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AERMOD Accelerator AERMOD.KEY (for slow 5-YEAR runs)
AERMOD.ALL (for fast EVENTFIL runs) FAR Improvements
Post-1999 data
More pollutants
RASS with ERER (by NRG)
Post-RASS via AERMOD with Q/CHI sums
Electronic Modeling Protocol/Checklist
Newer AERMET Data (e.g. 2001-2005)
Questions?Questions?
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Contact:
Chris Nelson at (651) 296-7750
Dennis Becker at (651) 297-7364
MPCA Web Site
http://www.pca.state.mn.us/
MPCA Air Dispersion Modeling web page
http://www.pca.state.mn.us/air/modeling.html
MPCA “Draft” AERMOD Data (Oct. 2005) http://www.pca.state.mn.us/air/modeling-data2.html