6 page A4 - Price forecasts, research and market analysis ... · PDF fileforemost specialist...
Transcript of 6 page A4 - Price forecasts, research and market analysis ... · PDF fileforemost specialist...
NEWfOr�2010
A�Strategic�Market�Outlook�for�Medium-and-LargeStainless�and�Duplex�(SAW)�Pipes�out�to�2030
In�which�regional markets will�stainless�and�duplex�welded�pipes�be�required�and�in�what�quantities?��
Will�there�be�enough�production capacity available�to�meet�the�most�likely�long-term�demand�scenarios?��
What�are�plant-by-plant capacity, production and share of duplex in�total�output�rates?
“This timely and ground-breaking report harnesses MBR’s unique status as the world’sforemost specialist in global analysis of the steel tube and pipe markets.”Murat Balapanov, General Director, Caspian Pipe Industries
A�Strategic�Market�Outlook�for�Medium-and-LargeStainless�and�Duplex�(SAW)�Pipes�out�to�2030
NEWfOr�2010
In�this�study�Metal�Bulletin�research�examines�precisely�where�large�and�medium-diameter�stainless�and�duplex�stainless�welded�pipes�will�be�required�and�in�whatquantities�going�out�to�2030�on�a�regional�basis.
Why is this study unique?Metal�Bulletin�research�presents�a�brand�new�study,�A Strategic Market Outlook for Medium-and-LargeStainless and Duplex (SAW) Pipes out to 2030,which�aims�to�provide�clarity�and�direction�at�apivotal�time�for�the�stainless�and�duplex�stainlesswelded�pipes�markets.�These�are�generally�requiredwhen�fluids�need�to�be�transported�in�severeconditions�–�at�low�temperatures,�at�high�pressures,�orin�corrosive�environments.
Their�use�has�become�common�in�the�constructionand�operations�of�liquefied�natural�gas�projects,�natural�gas�pipelines,�gas�treatment�plants�and�nuclearpower�plants.
With�the�number�of�energy-related�infrastructureprojects�assured�to�increase�on�aggregate�worldwide�incoming�years,�Metal�Bulletin�research�is�forecasting astrong growth in demand, particularly for large andmedium-diameter stainless and duplex stainlesswelded pipes (LMSS).�The�global�economic�crisis�canslow�down�investment�projects�in�the�energy�sectoronly�for�a�very�short�period.
Demand�for�LMSS�welded�pipes�will�not�increaseuniformly�in�all�markets,�however,�neither�will�it�arisefor�the�most�part�close�to�the�current�centres�ofproduction�in�Europe�and�mature�Asian�economies.�
MBr’s�A�Strategic�Market�Outlook�for�Medium-and-Large�Stainless�and�Duplex�(SAW)�Pipes�out�to�2030is�of�strategic�importance�to:
• Senior managers of steel tube and pipe makers;• Suppliers of raw materials, equipment andservices;• Financial analysts;• Legal advisers and international trade exports; • Consultants• Government departments;• Energy/oil/gas producers;• Engineering contractors;• Any business for which international steel tubeand pipe is important.
A Strategic Market Outlook for Medium-and-Large Stainless and Duplex (SAW) Pipes out to2030 offers�expert�analysis,�market�forecasting,�and�independent�guidance�to�the�industry�inevaluating�the�current�and�prospective�requirements�for�stainless�and�duplex�steel�welded�(SAW)�pipesin�the�OD�range�8.5/8”�-�48”,�medium-heavy�wall�thickness�(WT�7.11mm�-�40�mm)�manufacturedmostly�from�steel�plates.The�study�does�so�by�analysing�in�detail�the�prospects�for�growth�in�a�number�of�energy-related�andindustrial�sectors�–�the�end-use�areas�that�will�consume�the�lion’s�share�of�LMSS�welded�pipe�in�thefuture.�This�study�also�examines�specificities�of�some�of�the�national�markets�where�LMSS�weldedpipe�demand�will�grow�most�quickly�in�coming�years.���
Asia Pacific Country LNG Marine Terminals
Source:�Metal�Bulletin�research
Pakistan
India
India
�ailand
Sri-Lanka
INDIANOCEAN
China
Myanmar
Malaysia
Singapore
Philipines
Malaysia
EASTCHINASEA
PACIFICOCEAN
SouthKorea
Brunei
Tougyeomg + expansionCwungyang (Kwungyang)+ expansion Yeosu
Pyeongtuek
Incheon
Yingkou
Dalian
Quinhuangdao
Tangshan
Approximate location, Tianjin Province
Quigdao
Approximate location, Rishao
Approximate location, Lianyungang
Yancheng
Ningbo
Approximate location,Shanghai LNG�ongximentang Island
Approximate location, Zhejiang LNGZhejiang-Wenzhou LNG
Fujian LNG + expansion
Approximate location, Taichung
Kaohaiung, Yungan
Shantou Quang
Zhuhai
Dapeng Bay, Guangdong Province
Approximate location, Hainun Island
Kudong
Approximate location,Guangxi Province
Map TaPhut Port
Batangas
Approximate location,Northwest of Palawan Island
Approximate location, HainanMariveles, Bataan Province
Brunei LNG (Lumut) + expansion
Malaysia LNGMLNG Dua + expansionMLNG Tiga
Approximate location, Jurong Island
Approximate location,Southeast region
Approximate location,offshore Northwestern Myanmar
Paradip
Kerawalapitiya
Tuticorin
Kochi (Cochin)
Mangalore
Ratnagiri
Hazira, State of Gujarat
Dahej, State of Gujarat + expansion
Kandia Port, Gulf of Kutch,State of Gujarat
Port of Mundra
Approximate location, Port Qasim
Pakistan Marshall LNG Project, Port Qasim
Approximate location,Eunore
LegendLNG Marine Terminals
Liquefaction Facility StatusExistingProposedUnder�Construction
Regasification Facility StatusExistingProposedUnder�Construction
Why�is�this�study�essential�reading?
•�A�full�breakdown�of�current�LMSS�welded�pipecapacity,�%�duplex�rates,�and�production�specificationrates�worldwide;
•�By-plant�and�major-country�analysis�of�LMSS�capacity,production�(2008)�and�utilisation�rates,�includingOutokumpu,�Butting,�Erndtebrucker,�Inox�Tech�etc;
•�regional�demand�outlook�(in�volume�terms)�for�LMSSwelded�pipe�out�to�2030�for�key�regions�includingEurope,�Asia�and�Americas,�India,�Middle�East,�Africaand�Oceania;
•�Detailed�analysis�of�LMSS�OD:�8”-�48”�end-application�markets�for�2008;
•�Detailed�by-regional�perspectives�for�global�natural�gasproduction�and�LNG;�off-shore�oil�production,�refineryand�petrochemical,�desalination�water�plants,�andnuclear�power�generation�out�to�2030;
•�regional�market�size�information�for�medium-sizedstainless�tubes�OD�8-14�split�by�plate/coil�and�large-sized�tubes�over�14”;�
•�Analysis�of�size�distribution�of�LMSS�Pipe�withOD>8”;�steel�grade�structure�of�LMSS�Pipe;
•�Details�of�planned�capacity�additions.
With�analysis�and�projections�invaluable�to�consumers,producers,�traders,�investors�and�financial�institutions�theStrategic Market Outlook for Medium-and-LargeStainless and Duplex (SAW) Pipes out to 2030 study�isan�essential�tool�for�corporate�planning�by�decisionmakers�across�the�industry�over�the�coming�decade.�
The�study�includes�the�following�market�information:
Source:�Metal�Bulletin�research
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%2006 2015 2030
Bcm
% L
NG
Pipelines LNG Share of LNG
World interregional natural gas trade by theIEA reference scenario
Source:�Metal�Bulletin�research
Size distribution of LMSS Pipe withOD>8”
8” – <14” 35%
8” – <14” 30%
8” – <14” 25%
8” – <14” 7%
8” – <14” 3%
35%
30%
25%
7%3%
Contents
1 Introduction1.1 Study market areas
2 Middle East & North Africa (MENA)energy prospects 2.1 Overview and MENA context
2.1.1� World�context���2.1.2� MENA�context���
2.2 MENA energy and desalinated water demand 2.2.1� Natural�gas���2.2.2� Off-shore�oil�production�and�sour�gas���2.2.3� refining�capacity���2.2.4 Chemical�and�petrochemical�plants���2.2.5 Water�desalination���2.2.6 Pipeline�projects�in�Middle�East�and�Africa
3 India energy prospects 3.1 India energy sector
3.1.1 Energy�policy�challenges���3.2 Energy demand projection in the reference
scenario 3.3 Energy supply projections in the reference
scenario 3.3.1 Oil�production���3.3.2 Oil�refining�and�petrochemicals���3.3.3 Natural�gas�supply���3.3.4 Natural�gas�imports�and�LNG�plants���3.3.5 Power�generation���3.3.6 Investments�(estimated�by�International
Energy�Agency)��
4 Central Africa, South Africa, Australia4.1 Nigeria
4.1.1 Natural�gas�production���4.1.2 LNG���4.1.3 Oil�production���4.1.4 refineries���
4.2 Angola 4.2.1 Natural�gas�production���4.2.2 LNG���
4.3 Oil production 4.4 Refineries 4.5 South Africa 4.6 Australia 4.7 Cost positioning
5 World market of welded stainless andduplex pipes5.1 Overall world market of welded stainless and
duplex steel pipes 5.2 Market segments and large diameter pipes market
share
6 Market for LMSS welded with diameterover 8 6.1 Market size by region 6.2 Large and medium size stainless and duplex steel
pipes characteristics 6.3 LMSS welded pipes: historical demand and
outlook to 2012 and to 2030
7 Producers
8 Definitions and acronyms
9 References
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A�Strategic�Market�Outlook�for�Medium-and-LargeStainless�and�Duplex�(SAW)�Pipes�out�to�2030
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::�Welded�Steel�Tube�and�Pipe�Monthly�::�Seamless�Steel�Tube�and�Pipe�Monthly�::�The�five�Year�Outlook�for�the�Large-diameterLinepipe�Market::�A�New�Era�for�the�Middle�East�&�North�AfricanSteel�Industry:�five�Year�Outlook::�North�American�Steel�Markets::�The�New�China�Effect:�China’s�Steel�&�rawMaterials�Industries�&�their�Global�Impact
::�The�Indian�Steel�Industry:�Market�Projections�&Company�Strategies�out�to�2015::�Steel�raw�Materials:�Weekly�Market�Tracker::�Steel:�Weekly�Market�Tracker::�Global�Steel�Cost�Service::�Energy�Outlook�and�Market�Perspectives�for�SteelSeamless�Pipes�in�the�Middle�East�and�North�Africa::�The�five�Year�Outlook�for�the�Global�OCTG�Market�
Study�published�february�2010�
Other relevant Metal Bulletin Research publications include: