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NEW fOR2010 AStrategicMarketOutlookforMedium-and-Large StainlessandDuplex(SAW)Pipesoutto2030 Inwhichregional markets willstainlessandduplexweldedpipesberequiredandinwhatquantities ? Willtherebeenoughproduction capacity availabletomeetthemostlikelylong-termdemandscenarios? Whatareplant-by-plant capacity, production and share of duplex intotaloutputrates? “This timely and ground-breaking report harnesses MBR’s unique status as the world’s foremost specialist in global analysis of the steel tube and pipe markets.” Murat Balapanov, General Director, Caspian Pipe Industries

Transcript of 6 page A4 - Price forecasts, research and market analysis ... · PDF fileforemost specialist...

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NEWfOr�2010

A�Strategic�Market�Outlook�for�Medium-and-LargeStainless�and�Duplex�(SAW)�Pipes�out�to�2030

In�which�regional markets will�stainless�and�duplex�welded�pipes�be�required�and�in�what�quantities?��

Will�there�be�enough�production capacity available�to�meet�the�most�likely�long-term�demand�scenarios?��

What�are�plant-by-plant capacity, production and share of duplex in�total�output�rates?

“This timely and ground-breaking report harnesses MBR’s unique status as the world’sforemost specialist in global analysis of the steel tube and pipe markets.”Murat Balapanov, General Director, Caspian Pipe Industries

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A�Strategic�Market�Outlook�for�Medium-and-LargeStainless�and�Duplex�(SAW)�Pipes�out�to�2030

NEWfOr�2010

In�this�study�Metal�Bulletin�research�examines�precisely�where�large�and�medium-diameter�stainless�and�duplex�stainless�welded�pipes�will�be�required�and�in�whatquantities�going�out�to�2030�on�a�regional�basis.

Why is this study unique?Metal�Bulletin�research�presents�a�brand�new�study,�A Strategic Market Outlook for Medium-and-LargeStainless and Duplex (SAW) Pipes out to 2030,which�aims�to�provide�clarity�and�direction�at�apivotal�time�for�the�stainless�and�duplex�stainlesswelded�pipes�markets.�These�are�generally�requiredwhen�fluids�need�to�be�transported�in�severeconditions�–�at�low�temperatures,�at�high�pressures,�orin�corrosive�environments.

Their�use�has�become�common�in�the�constructionand�operations�of�liquefied�natural�gas�projects,�natural�gas�pipelines,�gas�treatment�plants�and�nuclearpower�plants.

With�the�number�of�energy-related�infrastructureprojects�assured�to�increase�on�aggregate�worldwide�incoming�years,�Metal�Bulletin�research�is�forecasting astrong growth in demand, particularly for large andmedium-diameter stainless and duplex stainlesswelded pipes (LMSS).�The�global�economic�crisis�canslow�down�investment�projects�in�the�energy�sectoronly�for�a�very�short�period.

Demand�for�LMSS�welded�pipes�will�not�increaseuniformly�in�all�markets,�however,�neither�will�it�arisefor�the�most�part�close�to�the�current�centres�ofproduction�in�Europe�and�mature�Asian�economies.�

MBr’s�A�Strategic�Market�Outlook�for�Medium-and-Large�Stainless�and�Duplex�(SAW)�Pipes�out�to�2030is�of�strategic�importance�to:

• Senior managers of steel tube and pipe makers;• Suppliers of raw materials, equipment andservices;• Financial analysts;• Legal advisers and international trade exports; • Consultants• Government departments;• Energy/oil/gas producers;• Engineering contractors;• Any business for which international steel tubeand pipe is important.

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A Strategic Market Outlook for Medium-and-Large Stainless and Duplex (SAW) Pipes out to2030 offers�expert�analysis,�market�forecasting,�and�independent�guidance�to�the�industry�inevaluating�the�current�and�prospective�requirements�for�stainless�and�duplex�steel�welded�(SAW)�pipesin�the�OD�range�8.5/8”�-�48”,�medium-heavy�wall�thickness�(WT�7.11mm�-�40�mm)�manufacturedmostly�from�steel�plates.The�study�does�so�by�analysing�in�detail�the�prospects�for�growth�in�a�number�of�energy-related�andindustrial�sectors�–�the�end-use�areas�that�will�consume�the�lion’s�share�of�LMSS�welded�pipe�in�thefuture.�This�study�also�examines�specificities�of�some�of�the�national�markets�where�LMSS�weldedpipe�demand�will�grow�most�quickly�in�coming�years.���

Asia Pacific Country LNG Marine Terminals

Source:�Metal�Bulletin�research

Pakistan

India

India

�ailand

Sri-Lanka

INDIANOCEAN

China

Myanmar

Malaysia

Singapore

Philipines

Malaysia

EASTCHINASEA

PACIFICOCEAN

SouthKorea

Brunei

Tougyeomg + expansionCwungyang (Kwungyang)+ expansion Yeosu

Pyeongtuek

Incheon

Yingkou

Dalian

Quinhuangdao

Tangshan

Approximate location, Tianjin Province

Quigdao

Approximate location, Rishao

Approximate location, Lianyungang

Yancheng

Ningbo

Approximate location,Shanghai LNG�ongximentang Island

Approximate location, Zhejiang LNGZhejiang-Wenzhou LNG

Fujian LNG + expansion

Approximate location, Taichung

Kaohaiung, Yungan

Shantou Quang

Zhuhai

Dapeng Bay, Guangdong Province

Approximate location, Hainun Island

Kudong

Approximate location,Guangxi Province

Map TaPhut Port

Batangas

Approximate location,Northwest of Palawan Island

Approximate location, HainanMariveles, Bataan Province

Brunei LNG (Lumut) + expansion

Malaysia LNGMLNG Dua + expansionMLNG Tiga

Approximate location, Jurong Island

Approximate location,Southeast region

Approximate location,offshore Northwestern Myanmar

Paradip

Kerawalapitiya

Tuticorin

Kochi (Cochin)

Mangalore

Ratnagiri

Hazira, State of Gujarat

Dahej, State of Gujarat + expansion

Kandia Port, Gulf of Kutch,State of Gujarat

Port of Mundra

Approximate location, Port Qasim

Pakistan Marshall LNG Project, Port Qasim

Approximate location,Eunore

LegendLNG Marine Terminals

Liquefaction Facility StatusExistingProposedUnder�Construction

Regasification Facility StatusExistingProposedUnder�Construction

Why�is�this�study�essential�reading?

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•�A�full�breakdown�of�current�LMSS�welded�pipecapacity,�%�duplex�rates,�and�production�specificationrates�worldwide;

•�By-plant�and�major-country�analysis�of�LMSS�capacity,production�(2008)�and�utilisation�rates,�includingOutokumpu,�Butting,�Erndtebrucker,�Inox�Tech�etc;

•�regional�demand�outlook�(in�volume�terms)�for�LMSSwelded�pipe�out�to�2030�for�key�regions�includingEurope,�Asia�and�Americas,�India,�Middle�East,�Africaand�Oceania;

•�Detailed�analysis�of�LMSS�OD:�8”-�48”�end-application�markets�for�2008;

•�Detailed�by-regional�perspectives�for�global�natural�gasproduction�and�LNG;�off-shore�oil�production,�refineryand�petrochemical,�desalination�water�plants,�andnuclear�power�generation�out�to�2030;

•�regional�market�size�information�for�medium-sizedstainless�tubes�OD�8-14�split�by�plate/coil�and�large-sized�tubes�over�14”;�

•�Analysis�of�size�distribution�of�LMSS�Pipe�withOD>8”;�steel�grade�structure�of�LMSS�Pipe;

•�Details�of�planned�capacity�additions.

With�analysis�and�projections�invaluable�to�consumers,producers,�traders,�investors�and�financial�institutions�theStrategic Market Outlook for Medium-and-LargeStainless and Duplex (SAW) Pipes out to 2030 study�isan�essential�tool�for�corporate�planning�by�decisionmakers�across�the�industry�over�the�coming�decade.�

The�study�includes�the�following�market�information:

Source:�Metal�Bulletin�research

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%2006 2015 2030

Bcm

% L

NG

Pipelines LNG Share of LNG

World interregional natural gas trade by theIEA reference scenario

Source:�Metal�Bulletin�research

Size distribution of LMSS Pipe withOD>8”

8” – <14” 35%

8” – <14” 30%

8” – <14” 25%

8” – <14” 7%

8” – <14” 3%

35%

30%

25%

7%3%

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Contents

1 Introduction1.1 Study market areas

2 Middle East & North Africa (MENA)energy prospects 2.1 Overview and MENA context

2.1.1� World�context���2.1.2� MENA�context���

2.2 MENA energy and desalinated water demand 2.2.1� Natural�gas���2.2.2� Off-shore�oil�production�and�sour�gas���2.2.3� refining�capacity���2.2.4 Chemical�and�petrochemical�plants���2.2.5 Water�desalination���2.2.6 Pipeline�projects�in�Middle�East�and�Africa

3 India energy prospects 3.1 India energy sector

3.1.1 Energy�policy�challenges���3.2 Energy demand projection in the reference

scenario 3.3 Energy supply projections in the reference

scenario 3.3.1 Oil�production���3.3.2 Oil�refining�and�petrochemicals���3.3.3 Natural�gas�supply���3.3.4 Natural�gas�imports�and�LNG�plants���3.3.5 Power�generation���3.3.6 Investments�(estimated�by�International

Energy�Agency)��

4 Central Africa, South Africa, Australia4.1 Nigeria

4.1.1 Natural�gas�production���4.1.2 LNG���4.1.3 Oil�production���4.1.4 refineries���

4.2 Angola 4.2.1 Natural�gas�production���4.2.2 LNG���

4.3 Oil production 4.4 Refineries 4.5 South Africa 4.6 Australia 4.7 Cost positioning

5 World market of welded stainless andduplex pipes5.1 Overall world market of welded stainless and

duplex steel pipes 5.2 Market segments and large diameter pipes market

share

6 Market for LMSS welded with diameterover 8 6.1 Market size by region 6.2 Large and medium size stainless and duplex steel

pipes characteristics 6.3 LMSS welded pipes: historical demand and

outlook to 2012 and to 2030

7 Producers

8 Definitions and acronyms

9 References

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A�Strategic�Market�Outlook�for�Medium-and-LargeStainless�and�Duplex�(SAW)�Pipes�out�to�2030

Order�before�May�31�2010�and�get�a�10%�discount. Call�+44�(0)�20�7779�7999

PLEASE�SELECT:

MBR0047

UK�£4995�����������US$8200�������������€5460

::�Welded�Steel�Tube�and�Pipe�Monthly�::�Seamless�Steel�Tube�and�Pipe�Monthly�::�The�five�Year�Outlook�for�the�Large-diameterLinepipe�Market::�A�New�Era�for�the�Middle�East�&�North�AfricanSteel�Industry:�five�Year�Outlook::�North�American�Steel�Markets::�The�New�China�Effect:�China’s�Steel�&�rawMaterials�Industries�&�their�Global�Impact

::�The�Indian�Steel�Industry:�Market�Projections�&Company�Strategies�out�to�2015::�Steel�raw�Materials:�Weekly�Market�Tracker::�Steel:�Weekly�Market�Tracker::�Global�Steel�Cost�Service::�Energy�Outlook�and�Market�Perspectives�for�SteelSeamless�Pipes�in�the�Middle�East�and�North�Africa::�The�five�Year�Outlook�for�the�Global�OCTG�Market�

Study�published�february�2010�

Other relevant Metal Bulletin Research publications include: