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2 (Joseph Stiglitz) 3 ECFA 4 2010629 ECFA 201289 2013621 ( ) 2013 ECFA 5 http://www.ecfa.org.tw/ 6: (1)(2)(3)(4) E. (b)( ) (CPC83104**) (1) (2) (3) (4) (c) (CPC83101**) (1) (2) (3) (4) (d) (CPC83106-831 09)( ) (1) (2) (3) (4) F. (a) (CPC871**)( ) (1) (2) (3) (4) (b) (CPC86401** ) (1) (2) (3) (4) (c) (CPC865) (1) (2) (3) (4) Page8 () 7: (1)(2)(3)(4) 8 WTO(GATS)4 (1) (2) (3) (4) 9 / (1). a. b. c. d. e. (2) ( ) (3) (4) (5) (6) ( ) (1) (2) (3) . (1) (1) (2)() (3) ( ) (1)() (2) (3) ( ) (4) ( ) (1) (1) (2) (3) (1)( ) (1) (2) (1) (2) / (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (1) (2) (3) (1) (1) (2) (3) () (1) (2) (3) (4) (1) (2) (3) (2).( ) (3) (1) ( ) (2) (3) () ( ) () (4)() (5) (6) (7) () 10 11 1. () 2. 3. 2 1. 2. 3. 50% 1. 2. 1. 50% 2. 3. () 1. 2. 1. 30 65% 2. 1. 2. 3. 1. 2. ()2 12 (Joseph Stiglitz) 13 :http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/editorials/archives/2013/07/10/2003566743 First, any trade agreement has to be symmetrical. Second, no trade agreement should put commercial interests ahead of broader national interests. Finally, there must be a commitment to transparency. By Joseph Stiglitz 14 Joseph Stiglitz Stiglitz: 1. Stiglitz: 2. Stiglitz: 3. 18 ! ! 2.1 : (1) (2) (3) (4) (1) (2) (3) 1.30 65% 2. (4) // () : 15 () () 4 4,282 82 5 4,086 182 7 2,984 123 29 1,336 378 2.2 : 16 2013500896 89 6 () () 30 1,321 32 305 365 -11 321 344 8 379 302 1 384 298 2 499 233 1 444 94 1,193 10 137 610 92 1,653 4 143 827 20 864 6 97 896 24 667 6 82 230 4,377 26 459 2.2 : () 17 (Forbes) 2013 1 1,348 28,135 378 2,373 2 1,131 22,410 306 2,020 8 1,030 21,242 230 1,508 11 9,81 20,338 221 1,317 3,509 92,125 1,135 7,218 2040 2.3 : 12.5 IBMPC (2005) 50 Morgan Stanley (2007) 30 (2007) 5520% (2007) 43 35 (2008) 40 (2008) 25020 (2009) 200 (2010) 151 (2013) 2008103 2012652 6 18 2.4 : 19 2.5 20 ! 21 3.1 ? 22 117385C400 (11-12) 55% (PC Home) ICP 3.1 ? () 23 ( 102/7/19) ! 64 ()! ( ) 3.2 (41) 24 93.586 158.64.2 25 50 100 402013 200 80 500 (1) (2) 2 (3) 2 (4) 100~1000 1000 2,000 20 2 501 7 3.2 (42) 3.2 (43) 26 CEPA 3.2 (44) 27 398216 6000 (1) (2) (3) 2010 3.3 28 20 1/3 3.4 (21) 29 3.4 (22) 30 3.5 31 2008 3.6 (21) 32 ( 2013/7/03) ! 2010ECFA 25.3%26.8%2010 28.02% 3.6 (2 2) 2007 23.7% 20.4% 8.8% 7.2% 6.2% 33.8% 2008 24.3% 20.3% 8.0% 6.9% 5.9% 34.5% 2009 28.5% 19.3% 8.2% 6.7% 5.3% 32.0% 2010 30.1% 18.5% 8.0% 6.2% 5.1% 32.1% 2011 33.1% 16.7% 7.2% 5.4% 5.1% 32.5% CEPA 23.7%33.1%CEPA 3.7 (21) 34 : 2012 36.2 84.4 : 3.7 (22) 35 : : 3.8 36 (1)(3) 37 : 38 200625 82 200742 2007630 201011 201012 () 20111021 20111116 FTA 20111129FTA14 2012315FTA FTA