2017 TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report Market Analysis 2 Quality Status ... Table:PV...

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TÜV SÜD China Slide 1 2017TÜV南德光伏质量认证调研报告 2017 TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report 3/18/2018 TÜV SÜD

Transcript of 2017 TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report Market Analysis 2 Quality Status ... Table:PV...

TÜV SÜD China Slide 12017TÜV南德光伏质量认证调研报告

2017 TÜV

PV Quality

Certification

Research Report

3/18/2018TÜV SÜD

TÜV SÜD China Slide 22017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

----PV Chief Editor Wang Chao

Led by leaders of the program, PERC, double-sided, half piece, laminated tile and other technologies gradually

enter into large-scale production. China's photovoltaic batteries and module products have a blossoming trend. Study

of the product performance will also move up to a new step. Different types of products have their own advantages

under different conditions. No matter how innovative products are, quality dominates the first place. How to instruct

electric power design institute and power plant investment enterprise to carry out equipment selection? TÜV has

played an exemplary role by formulating this research report.

TÜV took the lead in China to open an outdoor empirical base of product testing, accumulated a lot of data and

experience. Their testing results of more than 30GW at downstream photovoltaic power plants also give them a

stronger say in the status of use of products. Finding problems is to solve and avoid problems. We believe that TÜV

can make a huge contribution to promoting the wholesome development of the industry.

1 Market Analysis

2 Quality Status

3 Certification Status

4 Failure Cases Sharing

5 Solutions

TÜV SÜD China Slide 33/18/2018 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

TÜV SÜD Slide 4

Explosive Growth in 2017 Gradation Stability in 2018

3/18/2018 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

Data Source: Public Data Collation IRENA

Shenwan Hongyuan Research

Global PV New Installation Forecast(Unit:GW)

Year-on-Year

Growth%

New Installed

Capacity

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E

100 GW+ 30%+

TÜV SÜD Slide 5

Rapid Growth of Global PV Application Market

China

Japan

USA• New installed capacity about

14.76GW

• Market accounted for 20%

• The market tends to stabilize.

India • Emerging potential

markets

• New installed about 8.8

GW

• Market accounted for

12%

• Newly installed capacity about 6.9 GW

• Market accounted for 7%

• The market tends to stabilize.

• Newly installed capacity more

than 53GW

• Market accounted for 46%

• Ranked first in the world

• New installed capacity about

8.6 GW

• Market accounted for 11%

• The market tends to stabilize.

Europe

3/18/2018 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

China46%

USA20%

India12%

Japan11%

欧洲7%

其它4%

China, USA, Japan and India become the main demand force of PV market in

the world,

Global PV Market Access

TÜV SÜD Slide 62017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

China CQC

China CGC Japa

n JET

美国 CEC

Australia

CEC

IsraelS

II

Brazil

INMETR

O

Canada

CSA

Dubai

DEWA

Italy

UNI 9177

Russia GOST

Saudi

SASO

USA UL

India BIS

TÜV SÜD Slide 7

China’s new installed capacity in 2017 is far exceeding

expectations.

3/18/2018 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

Data Source: Public Materials Collation

China PV Installed Capacity Comparison(Unit:GW)

Accumulated

Installation

Capacity

New

Installation

Capacity

0.52 2.6

3.5

12.9

2

10.6 15

.13

34.5

4

53.9

8

0.89 3.5 7

19.4

2 28.0

5

43.1

8

77.4

2

137.

62

2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4 2 0 1 5 2 0 1 6 2 0 1 7

53 GW+ 53.6%+ 405%

Domestic New PV Installed Capacity Exceeding 50GW in 2017

TÜV SÜD China Slide 82017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

Item Data Sources/Assumptions 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E

Planning of Centralized Power

Station

General Centralized Power StationPV Power Station New Construction Scale Program 2017-

202014.02 8 8 6

Centralized PV Poverty-Alleviation Power

Station2.98 7 5 4

Total Planning of Centralized Power

Stations17 15 13 10

Planning Leader SchemePV Power Station New Installation Scale Program 2017-

20208 8 8 8

Plan Totals(Excluding

Distribution)25 23 21 18

Self-Managed Regional Centralized

Power Station

Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Fujian,

Chongqing, Tibet, HainanEstimate according to the size of the area declaration 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2

Distribution

Village-level PV Poverty-Alleviation Power

Station(including household)Circular of the State Council on Issuing “Thirteen-Five”

Planning for Poverty Alleviation2.18 5 4 3

Self-Contained Ground Centralization <6MW 10 0 0 0

Household distributed power plant +

Industrial and Commercial Distributed

Power Plan (excluding poverty alleviation)10 20 25 30

Distribution Totals 22.18 25 29 33

Additional Indicator Additional Indicator Bases on historical experience 5.6 0 0 0

Totals 53.98 49.2 51.2 52.2

Data Source: National Energy Administration, Shenwan Hongyan Research, Public Data Census

Table:PV New Installed Capacity Estimated in China 2017-2020(Unit:GW)

TÜV SÜD Slide 9

China's Domestic Application Market: Dual Conversion of Layout Structure

Outside the Northwest

• 24.80GW outside the northwest

• Accounted for 72% of the

whole country

• Central region of China has become a major growth area,

accounting for 89% of the country’s new installation.

• Shangong、Henan、Anhui

• Hebei、Jiangxi、Shanxi

• Zhejiang、Hubei、Jiangsu

Others

• New Installation of Distributed

dominates in the coastal

provinces of Zhejiang,

Shandong, Jiangsu,

Guangdong

• Ningxia and Shanxi etc. rely

on poverty-alleviation power

plants. The new installation

scale is also larger.

Northwest of China

9.74GW in the northwest region

Accounted for 28% of the whole

country

Central Part of China

Big shift in market structure: From ground power station to distributed type

Market Structure: Shifting from the northwest to the central and eastern

regions.

3/18/2018 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

Frequently Certified New Products Flourishing Technical Innovation

TÜV SÜD Slide 102017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

Single Multi-Crystal

Contests

• More mono crystal

certification projects

• Black Silicon

Products

Silicon Wafer

• Silicon Wafer

Thinner

• Cutting Technology

Diamond Wire Cutting

Cell

• Multigrid Line

• Black Silicon +

PERC

• N-Type、double-

sided

• HIT

• WMT

modules

• Half Piece

• Double Glass

• Laminated Tile

• Double-Sided

• Intelligent

• Reflective Sticker

• Double Glass Assembly

of Back White

3/18/2018

Increased Pressure on Enterprises’ Costing Down

module Risk Increasing Gradually

TÜV SÜD China Slide 112017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

Improving

Efficiency

Costing

Down

Structure

Innovation

Cell

Innovation

Material

Innovation

Thinner

Silicon

Wafer

Thin Glass

Frame

▪ Half Piece

▪ Laminated

Tile

▪ Double

Glass

• N Type

• Single

Silicon

• HIT

• WMT

• Double-

Sided

• Black

Silicon +

PERC

• Multi-Grid

Line

▪ Reflective

Foil White

EVA

▪ backplane

Glass

backplane

EVA

Increased

Risk

1.New Materials: Long-Term stability needs to be assessed (Resistance

to humidity, UV, wet freezing, mechanical impact)

2.High-Efficiency Cable: Power Generation Performance Assurance

(Anti-PID, hot spot, temperature rise, power attenuation)

1 Market Analysis

2 Quality Status

3 Certification Status

4 Failure Cases Sharing

5 Solutions

TÜV SÜD China Slide 123/18/2018 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

2017 TÜV SUD PV Enterprise Market Research – BASIC Data

TÜV SÜD Slide 132017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

65%

9%

12%

5%

3%

4%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

生产方

采购方

EPC

金融机构

分销商

第三方检测机构

其他

Customer type

modules, 38%

Inverter, 9%Power Staion,

21%

Stent, 4%Tracker, 2%

Junction Box, 8%

Other, 18%

Product Types

37% 23% 6%

9%

14%

24%

53%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

≤50人

50-200人

200-500人

≥500人

Company Scale

• Respondents

China enterprises related to PV industry

• Statistical Data

136 Valid Questionnaires

2017 TÜV SUD PV Enterprise Market Research----BASIC Data

TÜV SÜD Slide 142017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

24%

56%

19%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

基层 中层 高层

Interviewee Position

37% 23%

16% 12%

6%

48%

9%

17%

2% 1% 4% 2% 5% 5% 3% 4%0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

江苏浙江上海安徽东北山东河北河南江西北京广东海外其它

Area of the Respondent

37%

23%

16%

12%

6%3%

Quality Status of PV Products

TÜV SÜD Slide 152017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

45%

41%

9%

5%

0%

满意

一般

很满意

比较满意

很不满意

1 .SATISFACTION OF RESPONDENTS TO THE PV PRODUCTS

27%

18%

16%

14%

13%

9%

2%

0%

可靠性

寿命

安全性

电性能

内在质量

经济性

外观质量

其他

2 . THE MAIN PROBLEMS OF PV PRODUCTS QUALITY

40%

27%

13%

12%

8%

行标

GB

SEMI

IEC

其他

3 .FORMULATED STANDARDS INVOLVED IN RESPONDENTS’ COMPANIES

35%

33%

21%

9%

3%

较高

中等

非常高

偏低

不清楚

4 .CONTRIBUTION LEVEL OF RESPONDENTS’ COMPANIES TO

QUALITY CONTROL

Quality Status of PV Products

TÜV SÜD Slide 162017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

16%

33%32%

12%

7%

13%

22%

48%

16%

2%6%

18%

60%

14%

3%

7%

19%

52%

15%

5%

低 较低 中等 较高 很高

QUALITY ENGINEERS’ INCOME LEVEL IN COMPANY COMPARED WITH SALES,

PURCHASING, TECHNOLOGY, MARKET

Technology

Purchasing

Market

Sales

41%

31%

28%

0%

1-3次 /年

5次以上/年

3-5次/年

不参与

5 .RELEVANT STANDARD ANNUAL MEETING ATTENDING FREQUENCY OF

RESPONDENTS’ COMPANIES IN PVQUALITY/CERTIF ICATION

60%

21%

13%

4%

2%

中等

较高

较低

很高

6 .QUALITY ENGINEER’S INCOME LEVEL IN YOUR COMPANY

Quality Status of PV Products

TÜV SÜD Slide 172017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

For recent 1 or 2 years, TUV has issued nearly 400 effective monocrystalline and polycrystalline certificates for PV

enterprises, of which more than 90% focus on producing coated-glass. Customers of the backplane enterprise of PV

material with the fluorine backplane accounts for 80%.

Regarding to the most important link in improving quality management, 26% of the respondents thinks quality material

control and production process quality management level is in the first place, followed by the standard improvement and the

overall quality performance improvement, as well as the testing means, certification management and quality inspection

before delivery in the third-party supervision.

7.TÜV SUD PV Material Customer Valid Certificate Ratio of Recent 1-2

Years

90%

10%

镀膜玻璃 普通玻璃

80%

20%

含氟背板 不含氟背板

26%

26%

13%

12%

9%

8%

6%

质量材料控制

生产环节质量管理水平

标准完善

提升整体质量表现

第三方验货监造测试手段

认证管理

出厂前质检

THE MOST IMPORTANT L INK IN IMPROVING QUALITY

MANAGEMENT

Quality Status of PV Products

TÜV SÜD Slide 182017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

8.Frequent Quality Problems of PV Products

20%

17%

14%

13%

11%

10%

8%

7%

1%

隐裂

衰减过多

接线盒/二极管/连接器问题

质量一致性较差

热斑

PID

蚯蚓纹

安全隐患

其他

M O D U L E S

47%

21%

19%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

故障率高

过热

效率低

炸机风险

I N V E R T E R

21%

13%

13%

11%

10%

9%

8%

7%

5%

3%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

安装不规范

设计缺陷

运维不规范

基建问题

设备质量

PR效率

线路链接问题

衰减过多

监控

箱变

P O W E R S TAT I O N

28%

28%

20%

15%

8%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

接线盒

背板

连接器

EVA

线缆

M AT E R I A L

Quality Status of PV Products

TÜV SÜD Slide 192017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

9.Regarding to the Non-Standard Test Project, 13% of respondents are concerned about

outdoor power generation demonstration and long-term aging. Secondly, 11% of respondents

care about IEC new standard. 10% cares about PID.

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%

长期老化

户外发电量实证

IEC新标

PID

寿命测试

动态载荷

1500V

新兴市场认证测试项目

沙尘

盐雾氨气

蜗牛纹

防眩光

不均匀雪载

PANFILE文档建立

NON-STANDARD TESTING PROJECT OBSESSING THE RESPONDENTS

8%

13%

13%

11%

10%

9%

8%

8%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

1 Market Analysis

2 Quality Status

3 Certification Status

4 Failure Cases Sharing

5 Solutions

TÜV SÜD China Slide 203/18/2018 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

Certification Status of PV Products

TÜV SÜD Slide 212017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

1. 51 of the respondents have their own quality

testing laboratories, of which 71% is the CNAS lab.

71%

29%

S T A T U S O F Q U A L I T Y T E S T I N G L A B S O W N E D B Y T H E R E S P O N D E N T S

18%

17%

16%

16%

13%

11%

8%

>500万

200-500万

不清楚

100-200万

50-100万

0-50万

>1K 万

2 . E S T I M AT E D A n n u a l e x p e n d i t u r e o n a c c r e d i t a t i o n o f r e s p o n d e n t s ’ C o m p a n i e s .

15%

15%

13%

13%

12%

11%

8%

6%

5%

1%

1%

认证机构资质

价格

测试周期

技术沟通

品牌知名度

配合度

一站式资源整合

销售服务

创新能力

其他

关系

3 . F a c t o r s t o b e c o n s i d e r e d b y e n t e r p r i s e s i n s e l e c t i n g c e r t i f i c a t i o n o r g a n i z a t i o n

32%

26%

12%

10%

7%

6%

5%

2%

1%

TÜV SÜD

TÜV Rheinland

CQC

UL

CSA

Intertek

SGS

其它

BV

4 . C e r t i f i c a t i o n o r g a n i z a t i o n c o m m o n l y u s e d b y t h e r e s p o n d e n t s ’ c o m p a n i e s

Certification Status of PV Products

TÜV SÜD Slide 222017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

64%

32%

3%

1%

非常重要

重要

一般

不重要

5 . T h e i m p o r t a n c e o f c e r t i f i c a t i o n t o r e s p o n d e n t s ' c o m p a n i e s

24%

22%

20%

13%

8%

8%

4%

0%

加快测试周期

加强对标准理解的培训课程

降低报价

加强项目前期沟通

改进工程师沟通服务

帮助准备材料文件

工厂规范

其他

6 . I m p r o v e m e n t s u g g e s t i o n g i v e n b y r e s p o n d e n t s t o o r g a n i z a t i o n

25%

15%

14%

10%

10%

10%

8%

8%

1%

测试周期过长

公司内部协调流程

标准不熟悉

样品准备

材料文件准备

对认证了解程度较低

预算不足

销售/项目工程师沟通

其他

7 . K e y f a c t o r s a f f e c t i n g c e r t i f i c a t i o n p r o g r e s s

19%

19%

18%

13%

11%

9%

6%

5%

差异化认证

买家定制服务

光伏系统安全

长期老化

智能关断

法规强制

拉弧检测

市场宣传

8 . F u t u r e P V C e r t i f i c a t i o n Tr e n d

1 Market Analysis

2 Quality Status

3 Certificate Status

4 Failure Cases Sharing

5 Solutions

TÜV SÜD China Slide 233/18/2018 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

Failure Cases Analysis

TÜV SÜD China Slide 242017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

3.8%41%

Due Diligence, Power Station Assessment

Project Failure Ratio with sampling(PID, EL,

Attenuation)

VS

Pure TÜV Certification

Testing Failure Project

Ratio

Testing Failure Cases Sharing of PV Products

TÜV SÜD Slide 252017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

Wet Freeze Test

Mechanical Load Test (ML)5400

Thermal Cycling Test(TC)200

Hot Spot Test

Damp Heat Test (DH)1000 h

Accessibility Testing(ACC)

Temperature Test(TT)

Impulse Voltage Test(IV)

Module Breakage Test(MB)

Reverse Current Overload Test (RC)

IEC 61215:2005 IEC 61730-2:2004

2. Failure Ratio of Testing Project Ranking

Top5

1.组件在电站应用中最常见的失败因素

接线盒故障

电池破片/隐裂

主栅线虚焊

蜗牛纹

灰尘/阴影导…

EVA黄变或脱落

背板开裂

玻璃面板破碎

连接器故障

其他

12%

10%

19%

13%

11%

11%

8%

1%

4%

11%

Testing Failure Cases Sharing of PV Products

TÜV SÜD Slide 262017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

3. IEC 61215-2:2016,IEC 61730-2:2016 New Standard Testing Failure Project Distribution

29%

19%

19%

10%

7%

6%

3%

3%

3%

序列B

可接触性测试

静态机械负载测试

湿热1000 h

热斑测试

材料蠕变试验

耐久性标记

湿冻测试

冰雹冲击试验

Testing Failure Cases Sharing of PV Products

TÜV SÜD Slide 272017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

4. IEC 61215:2005 Testing Failure

Project Distribution

5. IEC 61730-2:2004 Testing Failure

Project Distribution

54%

21%

9%

7%

7%

3%

可接触性测试

模块破坏测试

温度测试

冲击电压试验

反向电流过载试验

接地连续性测试

40%

21%

13%

11%

9%

3%

2%

1%

0%

湿冻测试

热循环测试200

湿热测试1000 h

热斑测试

机械载荷试验5400 pa

机械载荷试验2400 pa

热循环测试50

引出端端子强度测试

冰雹冲击试验

1 Market Analysis

2 Quality Status

3 Certification Status

4 Failure Cases Sharing

5 Solutions

TÜV SÜD China Slide 283/18/2018 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

TÜV SÜD 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

Legacy: Successful Experience of over 150 Years

1866 1906 1938 1964 1991 2006On 6th January, 22

industrialists jointly

established Steam

Boiler Inspection

Association in

Manheim.

The first periodic

technical inspection of

vehicles is conducted.

After the national

standardization system

was officially launched,

14 regional inspection

associations, known

as TÜV, were born.

Since the inspection of

the cable car accident

in Cape Town of South

Africa, business

development has

expanded to other

countries and regions

outside Europe。

Asian division has

been established in

Hong Kong, Japan,

Taiwan and Shanghai,

while creating a North

American division.

Singapore PSB Group

was acquired and

TÜVTÜRK mark was

launched in the

following year.

1881 1921 1951 1989 1996 NowThe negotiation and

determination of the first

binding standards related to

the safety of boilers is

conducted to set a

foundation for the

development of a unified

technical inspection work

pad.

A report on dust

pollution was issued to

advocate the

protection of the

environment.

TÜV organization

authorized regular

testing of all motor

vehicles.

TÜV products service

company was founded

and TÜV take the lead

in launching the

concept of global

Certification.

TÜV South Deutsche

Group was jointly

formed by TÜV

organizations from

each states of the

South of Germany

Over the past

150+years, TÜVSouth

Deutsche Group has

been building and

sharing reliance to

shape the future of

business and society.

TÜV SÜD 3/18/2018

TÜV South Deutsche Group is growing stronger gradually.

1-stop solution

provider

1,000Worldwide Distribution

2016 sales hit new

highs.

24,000 employees worldwide

Oversea sales in Germany

accounted for 43%.

574,000 pieces of certification

were issued. 100% Independent

and Impartial

150+Experience in quality,

safety and sustainable

development

2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report

€2.3b

24,000 43%

574,000 100% 1

TÜV SUD PV Technical Service

TÜV SÜD Slide 312017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

• PV modules

• PV Cables

• PV Materials

• PV Bracket

• PV Electronic

System

Equipment

• PV Power

Station

• Chargeable Pile

TÜV PV Technical Service

TÜV SÜD Slide 322017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report3/18/2018

Manufacturer/O

peration PartyService Overview Test

Cer

tific

ate

Multin

ational

Certifi

cation

Asse

ssm

ent

Trai

nin

g

PV modules

• IEC 61215 & IEC 61730 new standard certification

• Thresher long-term anti-aging Test

• PV∙Discovery (Outdoor Power Generation

Demonstration)

• IEC TS 62941:2016 Ground modules

• Transport Testing and Certification

• Power Measurement System Evaluation

• Uncertainty assessment

• PANFILE

• Dynamic Load Testing/Certification

• Potential Induced Attenuation

Test/Certification

• Snail Pattern Test/Evaluation

• Dust Test/Certification

• Salt Spray Test/Certification

• Ammonia Test

• Light-induced Attenuation

Test/Evaluation

• Intelligent module Certification

• Double-Sided module Test Certification

√ √ √ √ √

PV Cables

• PV Cable: VDE 2283-4,EN 50618:2014

• Chargeable Pile Cable: EN 50620:2016

(TÜV SUD Enterprise Standard)• Electric Vehicle Cable : ISO 6722-1:2011,ISO

14572:2011

• Robot Cable

(TÜV SUD Enterprise Standard)• Rail Locomotive Cable

EN 50264,EN50306,EN 50382

• Low Smoke halogen-free flame

retardant cable, with hot wire etc.

√ √ √ √

PV Materials

• backplane material

• Packaging Materials of EVA

• Sealant and Potting Glue

• Application Environment of Backplane Material

• Differentiation

• Glass

• Mounting Bracket√ √ √ √

PV Electronic

System

Equipment

• Energy Storage System

• Large Energy Storage System

• PV Grid-Connected Inverter

• PV Combiner Box

• Intelligent PV Module√ √ √ √ √

PV Power Station

• Site Evaluation

• Power Generation Forecast Assessment

• Design Evaluation

• evaluation of Critical contracts and tender

documents

• Quality control of key equipment

• Construction Control

• Acceptance inspection and testing

• Performance evaluation

• Operation and Maintenance Evaluation

√ √

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TÜV SÜD China Slide 333/18/2018 2017TÜV PV Quality Certification Research Report