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Transcript of 120819_DW-TS
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7/31/2019 120819_DW-TS
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DRAFT COPY ONLY - THESIS BLURB
Zhi Jian (David) Wong / [email protected] / 021 115 7897
Future Christchurch: A Green Economy
I believe out of crisis arises opportunity and in the post-earthquake landscape there is the
possibility to transition Christchurch to become a leading sustainable economy. My thesis aims to
show how Christchurch could take advantage of the rebuild to become a Zero-Carbon city by 2030.It is Architecture that acts as an economic catalyst for this transition. I agree with Einstein when he
said, "we can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them."
In order to address the current global economic and environmental crisis, we need a completely
new tactic, one that no longer relies on outdated modes of thinking and instead adopts innovative
and creative solutions to pressing environmental challenges. Often master plans for cities are
shortsighted due to the fact that they cant adapt to change. The result is that when the plans are
realized; they immediately become outdated due to unanticipated and inevitable innovations of
technology.
Christchurch is at a cross road, it can either take the path of a Green Economy which would beecologically and economically responsible, or continue down the Business as Usual road, which
neglects to account for larger long term consequences for the gain of smaller immediate returns.
The value of the ecological system has to be calculated into the equation; this brings to question
the value of nature and the nature of value. Simply said, just because something is free does
not mean it does not have value; for instances there is no value placed on clean drinking water or
clean air until it is at risk. But when natural disasters such as landslides and droughts occur, the
economic cost to societies is brought to attention, which in effect is the price we pay for neglecting
the value of the ecological systems we live in.
If Christchurch chooses to take the path towards the Green Economy and focus on investing in
renewable energy, it could become a leading prototype city for the rest of the world to follow. The
Zero Carbon Christchurch 2030 Energy Plan outlines a technically possible, realistic and
economically attractive transition towards using only 100% of renewable energy to power
Christchurch in 15 years. The plan is the outcome of my previous research to use an injection of a
green energy wave as a catalyst for economic growth and recovery after the earthquakes. My
thesis also demonstrates the vast economic savings as a result of this transition towards being
Zero-Carbon; which when compared to the, Business as Usual; oil dependent scenario has a
cumulative savings of $6.5 Billion by the year 2040. Further, Christchurch would build on New
Zealands identity as a clean green country to capture the attention of foreign investors looking to
invest in sustainable technologies.
Christchurch is currently in a pivotal state of change, which is the perfect opportunity to test
revolutionary ideas on an urban scale. In my thesis I am proposing a test case and will design an
energy hub in the West of Christchurch, along the industrial line in Sockburn. This energy hub
would be the first prototype in which the notions of sustainable technologies and concepts are
developed, manufactured, created and taught to the people of Christchurch and later the rest of
the world. I believe once people start to actually see and experience the positive changes that are
being developed within this green precinct; the idea for a more sustainable future will spread like a
bug, the Green bug.
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P
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OPME
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M ZERO - CARBONCHRISTCHURCH
2030A Sustainable Energy Strategy
for Economic Growthand Stability
REBUILD
$
OIL
0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30
HYDRO
BIO-MASS (Heat)
BIO-MASS (DES Fuel Only)
COAL
GAS
WIND
BIO-MASS (Electricity)
OIL
DIESEL (Retail)
SOLAR (Electricity)
SOLAR (Hot Water)
PETROL (Retail)
ELECTRICITY (Retail)
GLOBAL SOLAR
GLOBAL WIND
$ Price / kWh
COMPARISON OF ENERGY PRICES IN NEW ZEALAND
References and resources can be found in the final thesis publication *
RESILIENT ENERGY GENERATION
PV PANEL SYSTEM
1
23
4
SMART GRID
SUN
Solar Photovoltaic (PV) panel generate power from the sun.
Electric vehicles are used as a portable battery pack charged
by PV panels.
The car battery can be used to run home appliances if andwhen needed.
When the PV panels are unable to supply the energy neededthe Smart grid is available for back-up. In times whenexcess energy is generated, the electricity can be sold back
to the Smart Grid system.
1.
2.
3.
4.
HYDRO ENERGY EFFICIENCY BIOMASS WIND SOLAR
Hydro power supplies back-up base loadenergy when the wind and solar energies donot meet the demand. Since the majority ofthe energy demand can be met by otherrenewable energy sources, this means thestrain on the stored energy at the hydro damscan be reduced.
Energy efficiency plays a vital part, eventhough energy is generated from renewablesources, wasting energy is unsustainable.Architecture plays an important role to ensureenergy efficient methods of construction areimplemented and because Christchurch willundergoing a massive reconstruction; there isthe opportunity to upgrade existing buildingsto be as energy efficient as possible.
Biomass supplies peak heating energydemands to the CBD and other satellite hubsduring the winter months which typicallyrequire more energy. Biomass is a goodsource of heat generated from waste; whichhas the additional benefit of reducing wasteby-products instead of putting them intolandfills. Two possible examples of sourcesfor biomass heating come from timber waste
generated in the forest and constructionindustry, and from harmful polluting gases(Methane) in the landfills.
Wind energy supplies intermittent base energydemands. Wind energy could be used inChristchurch by forging an alliance with theenergy companies and persuading them toinvest within Canterbury into wind technologies.There is sufficient wind to make the investmenteconomically viable, and instead of relying oncoal as a source of energy, wind power could be
harnessed instead.
If the government invested in renewableenergies such as wind, as opposed to oilexplorations; it would be investing in a longterm energy strategy rather than a short term fix.The added benefit could help spark an economyaround the demand for renewable technologies,which is a high-value product.
Solar energy would provide the peak base loadenergy during the day and would provideexcess energy in times of good solarcollection; which would be fed back to thesmart grid system. Solar Photovoltaic (PV)panels could be implemented where repairsfor damaged buildings need to be done, aswell as in any new c onstruction.
In times of crisis, solar energy in conjunctionwith electric vehicles becomes the solution forproviding the city with emergency back-uppower. The way to encourage solar adoption isto have different solar feed-in tariffs rewardingthe early adopters with a fixed tariff whichwould help to gain momentum for a movetowards solar energy adoption in Christchurch.
TRANSPORTATION SHIFT TO ELECTRIC VEHICLESThere are two aims. Firstly, to change the behaviour of using cars in the city in order to reduce the total number of
kilometres driven. This can be accomplished in several ways: via a car sharing mobile application (KiwiGo), improvedpublic transportation, and urban planning measures that al low for housing to be closer to areas of work. Secondly, througha shift towards using electric vehicles (EV) that can be charged at home. The transition towards using EVs can be done by
providing incentives and the necessary infrastructure (battery swap centres). Collaboration with the Better Placeorganization that is leading this global transition to an EV network system would be beneficial. Having an EV network within
the city would provide Christchurch with a significant amount of stored energy.
Percentage of beingZero - Carbon
The economic value savings/cost foreach person every year inChristchurch when compared to theBusiness as Usual Oil Scenario
5XELECTRIC VEHICLES ARE
5 TIMES MORE EFFICIENTTHAN FOSSIL FUEL CARS
235 WIND TURBINES BUILT
120,000 HOMES RETROFITTED
$820 MILLIONSAVED EVERY YEAR
FROM NOT
IMPORTING OIL
COSTOFOIL
FOR2011ON
LY=$$
$530MILLION
ANDRISING
EVERYYEAR
$$
$$
$$
$$
$$
$$
$$$$
$$
FOREIGN INVESTMENTINTO INNOVATIVE
RENEWABLE TECHNOLOGY
CHINA
ISPLANNING
TOINVEST
10TRILLIONYUAN
INTOCLEANTECH
Zhi Jian (David) WongUniversity of AucklandMArch (Professional) ThesisFuture Christchurch: A Green Economy
futurechristchurch.wordpress.com
COMPARISON OF ENERGY SOURCES
This is a current comparison of energy sources in
New Zealand (NZ) where the true cost of each type ofenergy production can be compared to each other. In order
to compare renewable energy with fossil fuels, the total energy
produced over the life span of that form of energy as well as the totalcost for production is calculated. From this chart we can see that fossil
fuels are not as cost efficient as the market makes them out to be. But whatis interesting is that when we look at the price of electricity from the local power
companies, we can see that it is high enough to make solar energy aneconomically viable option; even though New Zealands solar technology is FOURtimes less efficient than global standards. The reason for this price differential is becausethe solar adoption rate in NZ is only 2%, this is staggering when compared to Australia
(50%) which has the same solar potential as NZ. The demand for solar energy in NZ is notpresent in the economy because there is no driver for this to happen, but with this Zero-Carbonenergy plan the necessary demand for solar investment could happen.
To create a diverse supply of efficient sources of energy, solar, wind, biomass and hydro energy were
chosen based on their long term economic return relative to the energy generated. There are alsoecological benefits of using clean energy technology as opposed to fossil fuels, which also have an
economic benefit for the well being of the city. The 'Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity' is theconcept of calculating the hidden economic value of natu re, the rationale behind this is that we assume that if
something is free, it does not have value, and because mother nature provides us with clean air and water for free,
we take this for granted. An example of this is the significant air pollution in Christchurch, which stems frominefficient log burners and transportation exhaust. The economic health costs to the city is $168 MILLION everyyear. The Zero-Carbon concept is about working together with nature rather than against it; which makes economicsense and also creates for a healthier environment to live in .
$
$6.5 BILLION
OIL
$
$
$
$
$
RISK INVESTMENT
2040
CLEAN GREEN NZ BRAND
$20 BILLION
CHRISTCHURCH
CHOICE
200+ $
606+ $
59%
100%
2030010,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2 01 2 ( BA U) 20 12 ( ZC CE P) 2 030 ( BA U) 20 30 ( ZC CE P)
EnergyUse(TJ/p
a)
COMPARISON OF THE DIFFERENT SCENARIOS
Energy Efficiency
Transport Shift
WindSolar
Biomass
Hydro
Fossil Fuels
BAU - BUSINESS AS USUAL (OIL ECONOMY)ZCCEP - ZERO CARBON CHRISTCHURCH ENERGY PLAN