11thAfrican_Laure Pironneau & Michael Jay

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    Unlocking Upstream Financing for AfricasOil Sector Development

    UNCTAD Conference,Nairobi, June 23rd, 2007

    NOT AN OFFICIAL UNCTAD RECORD

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    AGENDA

    Africa is a growth relay for the oil & gas

    sector

    A strong need to unlock financing in a difficultenvironment

    New and adequate financing techniques forindependent E&Ps

    Accompanying the oil sector growth in Africa

    and developing local content.

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    AFRICA IS A KEY CONTINENT IN TERMS OFRESERVES POTENTIAL AND DISCOVERIES

    Africas reserves currently represent near 10% of

    the Worldwide reserves, i.e. approx. 105 billionbarrels, but rate of new oil reserves discoveries inAfrica has been the fastest in the world in the pastdecade, leading to a growing importance of Africain the worldwide reserves.

    Africas oil is also a growing part of USAs oilimportations. Sub-Saharan Africa is said torepresent 25% of North American oil imports by2015 compared to approx. 15% at present.

    Africa produced over 9 million bpd of oil in 2005.16 countries are currently producing and prospectsare high in at least another 5 countries.

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    AFRICA BENEFITS FROM SIGNIFICANTSTRENGTHS

    Mostly light crude oil with low sulfur tenor

    Sizeable oil & gas fields

    Geographical location (open to Europe and USA)

    Low costs of production in numerous countries (inparticular on onshore and shallow water concessionsaccessible to the independents).

    Attractive fiscal terms in most countries forindependents and local content companies

    An oil & gas upstream sector opened to foreignpartners

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    TRENDS IN WEST AFRICA

    Majors are focusing their attention to large scale

    projects notably in the deepwater areas

    Portfolio rationalization and disposal of marginalassets

    Local capacity creation within the indigenous privatesector

    The high price of oil allows lowered breakeven costs

    Progress in term of technique also allows moreaggressiveexploration

    New emerging small E&P companies

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    The region is still largely under-explored

    Geologists assess that there should be important oildiscoveries thanks to the progress in the techniquesof explorations

    Onshore and offshore potential is opening the doorsfor Majors and independents companies

    Countries like Uganda should start producing at a rateof 60,000 bpd of oil in 2008.

    This part of the African continent to successfully reacha significant production level will require hugeinvestments at all the stages of the oil and gas sector(exploration / production / oil services /

    infrastructures)

    TRENDS IN EAST AFRICA

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    AGENDA

    Africa is a growth relay for the oil & gas

    sector

    A strong need to unlock financing in adifficult environment

    New and adequate financing techniques forindependent E&Ps

    Accompanying the oil sector growth in Africa

    and developing local content.

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    A DIFFICULT AFRICAN ENVIRONMENT

    African countries are almost all rated as speculative

    grade, when rated.

    The legal environment can be constraining andcompanies / Banks have to face and adapt to varioustype of legal framework

    Political uncertainties

    Modern and expensive equipment is required for E&P

    in difficult areas (deep and ultra deep-water)

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    PROBLEMATICS FOR INDEPENDENT OILPRODUCERS IN AFRICA

    Buying assets through tenders or direct negotiations

    Buying companies owning producing assets orlicenses

    Establishing a JV with local partners

    Managing independence

    Farming in / Farming out with Independentsand/or Big names

    Finding relevant partners

    Choosing appropriate contractors at an effectivecost rate & time schedule

    Financing exploration, development and acquisitions

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    AGENDA

    Africa is a growth relay for the oil & gas

    sector

    A strong need to unlock financing in a difficultenvironment

    New and adequate financing techniquesfor independent E&Ps

    Accompanying the oil sector growth in Africa

    and developing local content.

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    EVOLVING FROM TRADITIONALCORPORATE AND PRE-EXPORT FINANCE

    Corporate Financing:

    Not relevant for independents characterized bylimited Balance Sheets and P&L accounts and no

    credit ratingTraditional corporate banks are often not

    comfortable with emerging countries.

    Pre-Export Financing:

    Based only on the exported portion of existingproduction

    Small production: facility insufficient to fundasset development

    Lack of flexibility

    Historically designed for large E&Ps, traditionalfinancing techniques are not relevant for smaller/ independent E&Ps

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    Project Finance

    Quality of the SponsorLack of flexibility

    Development risk (full asset development)

    New Equity

    Cost

    Dilution of existing shareholders

    Time schedule

    POTENTIAL ALTERNATIVES

    Need for an adequate financing tool

    for independent producers

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    EXPLORATION

    DEVELOPMENT

    BEFORE

    FIRST OIL

    AFTER FIRST

    OIL

    High risk-High reward

    Investors role

    Development risk

    Investors/banksrole

    Operational risk

    Banks role

    IPO/equity

    Farm-OutPre first

    Oil RBL

    PRIVATEPLACEMENT /PARTNERSHIP

    BRIDGEFINANCING

    RESERVEBASED LENDING

    FINANCING TOOLS AND PROJECT PHASING

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    RESERVE BASED LENDING: AN ADAPTED TOOL

    Financing Based on cash flows deriving from the developmentof the reserves, not corporate risk analysis

    Detailed and recurrent technical due diligence on the financedoil & gas assets

    A borrowing base approach evolving in line with developmentof reserves and production level

    Strong structure allowing to accommodate country risk andeven limited asset portfolios

    Tailored to the financing needs and company development

    from a single asset to multi-asset, multi country portfolio

    Various facility types depending on the purpose: Senior Debt,Stretched Facility, Junior/Mezzanine Debt

    Flexibility in balancing contributions from equity holders and

    debt providers

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    DIVERSIFIED RBL TYPE FACILITIES TOADRESS VARIOUS FINANCING NEEDS

    BRIDGE

    Facility: Amount fixed on a case by case basis

    Purpose: To finance acquisitions or licenses purchase

    Tenor: Short-term, until repaid by Senior facility

    SENIOR RBL FACILITY

    Facility: Fully revolving credit facility

    Borrowing Base: Based on Proved Reserves + a portion ofProbable in certain cases

    Purpose: To finance development and production on theexisting reserve base, working capital andeventually acquisition

    Tenor: Medium-term (5years & more)

    Collateral: Charge on interests in oil & gas properties andmajor contracts

    Collection Account : Domiciliation of revenues at the banking agentscounters

    Amortization: According to cash flow ratios

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    STRETCH

    Identical to the Senior Facility, except:

    Amount: additional amount based on stretchedCF ratios

    Purpose: Development of the existing reservebase and acquisition

    Amortization: According to cash flow ratios (lessrestrictive than senior tranche)

    MEZZANINE

    Facility: Amount fixed on a case by casebasis (subordinated credit facility)

    Purpose: Acquisition

    Tenor: Senior facility Tenor + 1 day

    Amortization: Bullet

    DIVERSIFIED RBL TYPE FACILITIES TOADRESS VARIOUS FINANCING NEEDS

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    AGENDA

    Africa is a growth relay for the oil & gas

    sector

    A strong need to unlock financing in a difficultenvironment

    New and adequate financing techniques forindependent E&Ps

    Accompanying the oil sector growth in

    Africa and developing local content.

    BANKS NEED TO ADAPT TO CURRENT MARKET

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    BANKS NEED TO ADAPT TO CURRENT MARKETTRENDS AND PROVIDE COMPREHENSIVESOLUTIONS

    The market is currently consolidating, more and

    more clients request Banks to provide acquisitionfinancings needs as well as innovative solutions forthe development of their oil & gas assets.

    Banks have to evolve to provide comprehensivesolutions and to be involved in the life E&P projects:

    Equity raising manager and/or participator

    Acquisition financing

    Financing of pre-first oil facilities

    Financing of the local oil services sector which isa key necessity for the development of theindependents E&P assets

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    The E&P sector will not grow and thrive without the

    simultaneous growth of the associated related oilsector: mainly the infrastructure and the oil servicessectors

    Such development will not be possible without the

    strong implication of the local actors

    The oil services sector through the lack of availabilityof equipment for the independent is opening the doorfor the development of the local content oil companies

    Promoting the local content is becoming one of thekey elements to ensure a further development of theAfrican continent oil & gas industry

    A NEED TO EXPAND FINANCING FROM E&P TO

    OIL SERVICE AND OTHER SUPPORT ACTIVITIES

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    DEVELOPING LOCAL CONTENT

    Africa needs to effectively exploit its vast natural resourcesand with the support of the international finance

    communitys active participation.

    Certain countries like Nigeria are trying hard to developlocal skills through the transfer of technologies

    Local content bill (45% of local content in the oil sector

    by 2008) Creation of the Nigerian Content Support fund (local oil

    groups working as subcontractors)

    A new market opportunity for banks, willing to provideinnovative structured financing based for example on:

    Assignment of oil services contracts

    Pledge on assets

    Pledge on receivables / fares / revenues

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    CONCLUSION

    Natixis is dedicated to provide its clients with all

    its experience and knowledge in:

    Introduction to reliable professionals andpartners

    Technical and advising

    From debt to equity financing

    Financing development and acquisition

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    THANK YOU

    Michel JAYStructured Finance & Natural Resources

    Global Head of Upstream & Commodity StructuredFinance

    Energy

    e-mail: [email protected]: + 33 (0) 1 58 19 94 44

    Laure PIRONNEAUHead of Africa & Middle-East

    Upstream & commodity structured FinanceEnergy

    e-mail: [email protected]: + 33 (0) 1 58 19 28 79