系统动力学及 Vensim 建模与模拟技术

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系统动力学及 Vensim 建模与模拟技术. 主要内容. 系统动力学简介 Vensim 软件简介 系统动力学及 Vensim 建模基础 简单系统与行为模式 系统动力学及 Vensim 函数介绍 Vensim 高级建模与模拟技术 ( I ) 复杂系统及行为 Vensim 高级建模与模拟技术( II) 建模互动交流. (1)系统动力学简介 系统动力学发展历史 系统动力学主要应用领域 系统动力学学科基础 系统动力学建模基本过程 (2) Vensim 软件简介 软件配置 基本功能 用户界面 模型库及辅助知识 (3) 系统动力学及 Vensim 建模基础 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of 系统动力学及 Vensim 建模与模拟技术

  • Vensim

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    VensimVensimVensimVensim(I)Vensim(II)

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    (1)

    (2)Vensim

    (3)Vensim(4)VensimSyntheSim:

    (5)

    (6)Vensim , ,

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    (7)Vensim Vensim(Game)

    (8)(9) VensimVensim

    (10)

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    MITJay W. Forrester 1950~60SD1970~801990~

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    ()()

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    SDSD

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    S(p)()St

    SSi

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    LRALPW

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    (System)

    X=(x1,x2,..n) U=(u1, u2, ..,um) X=f(X,U,t)

    : U, f(X,U,t)) X=f(X,U,t)

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    Robust

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    Vensim

    VensimVensimVensimVensimVensim

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    Vensim Vensim Ventana Systems, Inc. 1985 Harvard, MassachusettsVensim19881993Vensim 1.50Vensim 1.62 1995Vensim 3.01997Vensim 41999Vensim 4.14.22000Vensim 52002.Vensim 5.32004 Vensim 5.52005 Vensim 5.62006Vensim 5.7a2008

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    Vensim Vensim Causal Tracing Subscripting Optimization Venapp Flight Simulators (Learning Environments) Resource Allocation algorithm (ALLOC P) Reality Check

    Bob EberleinPh.D in MIT 2007

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    Vensim Vensim PLE, , Vensim PLE PlusPLE Plus , Monte Carlo ,. Vensim ProfessionalPLE Plus , Vensim DSSDLLVensim Model ReaderVensimMoleculesVenapps

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    VensimTitel Bar: Menu :Tools Bar Main ToolsSimulation ToolsAnalysis ToolsSketch Tools :Status Bar

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    Vensim Main Tools Sketch ToolsLock:Move/Size:Variable:Box Variable:Arrow: Rate:Merge:Delete:,Model Variable:Shadow Variable:Input Output Object : Sketch Comment: Unhide Wand:Hide Wand:Equations:Reference Model:

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    Vensim Simulation ToolsControl: Set up a simulation:Run Name: Choose Runname:Simulate:SyntheSim:Game:Sensitivity:Optimize:Reality Check: Build Windows:Output Windows:Control Panel:Subscrip:

    Analysis Tools

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    Vensim Analysis ToolsVenapp

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    Vensim Vensim

    PDFs Vensim User GuideVensim Modeling GuideVensim Reference ManualVensim DSS Reference Supplement

    Vesim\models\guideVesim\models\mguideVesim\models\sample

    Vensim www.vensim.com

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    Vensim

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    12 SWOT

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    A+ BAB1AB2ABA- BAB1AB2AB

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    12

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    Level

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    SyntheSimSyntheSim

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    01FINAL TIME = 100Units: MonthThe final time for the simulation.07 = INTEG(, )Units: Person02INITIAL TIME = 0Units: MonthThe initial time for the simulation08 = 3Units: Month03SAVEPER = TIME STEPUnits: MonthThe frequency with which output is stored09 = INTEG(-,300)Units: Widget04TIME STEP = 1Units: MonthThe time step for the simulation10 = 3Units: Month05 =*Units: Widget/Month11 = ( - )/ Units: Widget/Month06 = 100 + STEP(50,20)Units: Widget/Month12 = 2Units: Month

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    Vensim

    SDVensimVensim

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    SD Simple functions: If then else,

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    Vensim

    Common functions Simple functions Dynamic functions Reality Check functions Lookup functions

    / Discrete/Delay functions Data Only functions. Array. User Defined DLL. Macros :MACRO: definitions.All:

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    VensimVensim:+, -,*, /: =,>,