Ⅲ.金融政策決定会合における決定の内容 - Bank of JapanⅢ.金融政策決定会合における決定の内容 1.金融政策運営に関する決定事項等
予測:決定木 - stat.sm.u-tokai.ac.jpstat.sm.u-tokai.ac.jp/~yama/lect/chuo/2017-05.pdf ·...
Transcript of 予測:決定木 - stat.sm.u-tokai.ac.jpstat.sm.u-tokai.ac.jp/~yama/lect/chuo/2017-05.pdf ·...
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6 1
Prediction: Decision tree)
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(Decision tree)
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(target variable)(qualitative)(Classification tree)(quantitative)(Regression tree)
or
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Divided by the 1st variable
Divided by the 2nd variable
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CHAID C5.0 CART QUEST
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*2
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SASCHAID, CART, C4.5
Answer Tree CHAIDCARTQUESTClementine CARTC5.0
Sheet1
CHAIDC5.0CARTQUEST
2 2
*1
*2
Sheet2
Sheet3
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(Regression tree)(target variable) (quantitative)(input variable)
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IC 8800 10 0 15 10 0 0 20
15000 30 0 14 10 1 0 236500 30 0 14 10 0 0 24.5
20000 20 1 15 11 1 1 2422000 20 1 14 11 1 1 3220000 45 1 15 11 0 1 2820000 45 1 15 12 1 1 2422000 50 1 14 11 1 0 34
Sheet1
IC
880010015100020
1500030014101023
650030014100024.5
2000020115111124
2200020114111132
2000045115110128
2000045115121124
2200050114111034
1500020115111021
1400030114111020
2200030114121128
2000045114111028
1250025115111029.8
1400020114101124
2500025115111129
980030115101026
1500040115111128
2200040115101036
180005114101023.8
1500015115111028
150005115120120
Sheet2
Sheet3
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(setting of Regression tree)
: ProbF: Fp (anova)
: 2100:
: : 1
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(2)
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(2)
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id
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pruning()
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hachioji-housing
price bus 0:1:parking 0:1:time ()Bustime ()walktime ()chikunen (heyasu shikimen tatemen
Sheet1
pricebusparkingtimeBustimewalktimechikunenheyasushikimentatemen
12501135305213110.1158.78
1380112420430392.6752.04
13801139381214109.4375.19
14801117152203101.3259.48
17801125214294116.1576.14
18901125223214119.0871.28
19001116151144120.0589.23
1980001901927394.4288.79
19800120020145104.11107.62
1980101713423414180.73
2180002002013566.0399.28
2180112215795171.784.04
2180112215793220.7497.7
220011129327483.1478.08
2380111477255112.291.89
24501118153124157.6982.62
25000110010315154.87110.2
25440119019194110.0470.1
26000070724596.6773.01
26000170724496.6773.01
2680012502595100102.95
278001606145120.0895.01
27801116133105190.74108.97
2880112017324107.8185.72
2880012002086138.99149.13
31000110010175156.4488.72
31500117017275251.3493.77
31800114014275212.5388.59
32500130385125100.74
32801197275215.8896.29
32900115015235167.5104.92
34800150525138.0990.33
34800116016255211.46110.54
35001116151245229.24132.92
39500110010155112.46182.45
41000110010135122.47129.16
418001808245160.0391.92
4480011001099199.33144.91
550001303226218.18134.04
650001606136309.32233.99
85500120020247401.21146.15
Sheet2
price
bus0:1:
parking 0:1:
time ()
Bustime ()
walktime ()
chikunen (
heyasu
shikimen
tatemen
busparking
305351250110.11358.782111
20424138092.67352.043011
381391380109.43475.192111
152171480101.32359.482011
214251780116.15476.142911
223251890119.08471.282111
151161900120.05489.231411
01919198094.42388.792700
020201980104.115107.621401
134171980141480.732310
02020218066.03599.281300
157222180171.7584.04911
157222180220.74397.7911
9312220083.14478.082711
77142380112.2591.892511
153182450157.69482.621211
010102500154.875110.23101
019192544110.04470.11901
077260096.67573.012400
077260096.67473.012401
0252526801005102.95901
0662780120.08595.011401
133162780190.745108.971011
173202880107.81485.72211
020202880138.996149.13801
010103100156.44588.721701
017173150251.34593.772701
014143180212.53588.592701
03332501255100.74801
7293280215.88596.29711
015153290167.55104.922301
0553480138.09590.33201
016163480211.465110.542501
151163500229.245132.922411
010103950112.465182.451501
010104100122.475129.161301
0884180160.03591.922401
010104480199.339144.91901
0335500218.186134.042201
0666500309.326233.991301
020208550401.217146.152401
3051250110.113K58.78210426(65)5151
204138092.672LDK52.04300120-006327
3811380109.434DK75.19210426(25)6981
1521480101.322LDK59.48200426(65)5151
2141780116.153SLDK76.14290426(25)6981
2231890119.084DK71.28210120-556762
1511900120.054DK89.23140426(25)6981
1 019198094.423DK88.79270426(25)6981
0201980104.114LDK107.62140120-553536
13419801414DK80.73230426(65)5151
020218066.035DK99.28130120-556764
1572180171.74LDK84.0490426(32)7771
1572180220.742LDK97.790120-556764
93220083.144DK78.08270120-556515
772380112.25DK91.89250426(25)6981
1532450157.694DK82.62120426(65)5151
0102500154.874LDK110.2310426(25)6981
0192544110.043LDK70.1190426(46)2331
4 07260096.674LDK73.01240426(25)6981
07260096.674DK73.01240120-556762
02526801004LDK102.959042(771)3313
062780120.084LDK95.01140426(20)2772
2 1332780190.744SLDK108.97100120-556764
1732880107.814DK85.7220426(25)6981
0202880138.995LDK149.1380120-556515
1512980169.82135.8135.8140426(25)6981
0103100156.444LDK88.72170426(46)2331
0173150251.344LDK93.77270426(46)2821
0143180212.535SDK88.59270120-237413
0332501254LDK100.7480426(25)6981
3 723280215.884LDK96.2970120-556515
0153290167.55DK104.92230426(46)2821
053480138.094LDK90.3320426(25)6981
0163480211.464LDK110.54250426(65)5151
3 1513500229.244LDK132.92240120-710318
0113660100.0194.1894.1880426(65)5151
0103950112.464SLDK182.45150426(25)6981
0104100122.474LDK129.16130120-710318
1 084180160.034LDK91.9224-0422(54)1161
0104480199.338LDK144.9190120-710318
3 035500218.185SLDK134.04220426(25)6981
2 066500309.325SLDK233.99130426(25)6981
2 0208550401.216LDK146.15240426(25)6981
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Classification tree(target variable) (qualitative)(input variable)
both qualitative and quantitative variable
SQL
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ProbChisq: Pearson 2p: C5.0Gini: GiniCART
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Newschan
(acredit)
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(NewsChanJ)
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531 67
EnterpriseMiner
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SAS 2005 (2004) , , D. Steinberg 2CART 1999 . 2001
2001 2002
Prediction: Decision tree)(Decision tree)(Regression tree)(setting of Regression tree)(2)(2) 18 pruningClassification tree(NewsChanJ)531