兩岸 MRA 效益評估試擬

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兩兩 MRA 兩兩兩兩兩兩 WTO 兩兩 兩兩兩 2009.08. 11

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兩岸 MRA 效益評估試擬. WTO 中心 李欣蓁. 2009.08.11. 大綱. 1. MRA 簡介. 2. MRA 經濟效益評估方法. 3. GTAP 簡介 及情境設定. 4. 模擬結果. 5. 結論. MRA 簡介( 1 ). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of 兩岸 MRA 效益評估試擬

  • MRAWTO2009.08.11

  • 1. MRA2. MRA 3. GTAP4. 5.

  • MRA1WTOAgreement of Technical Barrier s to TradeTBT63Mutual Recognition AgreementMRA

  • MRA2MRAMRA

  • /(Part15)(Part18)/88316/9167 /93715/94715/941128

  • (2003)THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF MUTUAL RECOGNITION AGREEMENTS ON CONFORMITY ASSESSMENT A Review of the Costs, Benefits, and Trade Effects Resulting from the European Community MRAs Negotiated with Australia and New ZealandMRA

  • GTAPGTAP(Purdue university)sub-model/CGEGTAP

  • GTAP

  • .tab .cmf .har .dat .upd .prm .sl4 GEMPACKGTAP.agg.har .prm

  • GTAP 7.0 -113 Taiwan Rest of World China2004

  • GTAP 7.0 -57 2004

  • 1234(pfob) 0.5%(pfob) 1%(pfob) 1.5%(pfob) 2%

  • GDP

  • GDP

  • GDP

  • (cif)Equation FOBCIF # eq'n links FOB and CIF prices for good i shipped from region r to s (HT 26') # pcif(i,r,s) = FOBSHR(i,r,s) * pfob(i,r,s) + TRNSHR(i,r,s) * ptrans(i,r,s); * *

  • (cif)Coefficient FOBSHR(i,r,s) # FOB share in VIW #; Formula FOBSHR(i,r,s) = VXWD(i,r,s) / VIWSCOST(i,r,s) /

    VIWS(i,r,s) = VXWD(i,r,s) + VTFSD(i,r,s)

  • MRAGDP