- National Steering Committee for Earthquake Preparedness

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Israels National Steering Committee for Earthquake Preparedness together with the Master's Program on Coping with Emergencies and Disasters of the Department of Geography and Environmental Studies at the University of Haifa, invite you to the conference on Operational Earthquakes Forecasting.Operational earthquakes forecasting focuses on low-probability, time limited earthquakes forecasting, which enhances the need for an adequate decision making under uncertainty, in order to provide both the emergency units and the public with relevant information.The conference will be held at University of Haifa, Israel )Safdie Auditorium, Multipurpose Building(, June 20 - 22, 2016 and will include two days of lectures, and a day dedicated to a guided tour of historical earthquakes sites in Northern Israel.Looking forward to seeing you in Haifa!

20 - 22 2016, ) , (

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9:00 - 9:10 Greetings, Dr. Lea Wittenberg, Head of The Department of Geography and environmental Studies9:10 - 9:20 Opening words, Bezalel Traiber, Head of National Emergency Management Authority9:20 - 9:30 Introduction, Dr. Avi Shapira

9:30 - 10:30Prof. Thomas Jordan - )University of Southern California and the Southern California Earthquake Center(. "The problem of earthquake forecasting"

10:30 - 11:30Prof. Warner Marzocchi - Chief scientist at Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia )INGV(. "Operational earthquake forecasting in Italy"

11:30 - 12:00Coffee break

12:00 - 13:00Prof. Matthew Gerstenberger - )Risk and Engineering Team Leader at GNS Science, New Zealand(. "Recent experiences in operational earthquake forecasting in New Zealand: the good and the bad"

13:00 - 13:45Break )light lunch(

13:45 - 14:30Dr. Avi Shapira - )Master's Program on Coping with Emergencies and Disasters, Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Haifa(. "Earthquake forecasting - case studies in Israel"14:30 - 15:00Prof. Moshe Inbar - )University of Haifa(. "Historical earthquakes in Israel - a 4,000 years record"

15:00 - 15:30Dr. Amos Salamon - )Geological Survey of Israel(. "Temporal and areal quantification of earthquake hazards in the maps of the Geological Survey of Israel"15:30 - 16:00Coffee break16:00 - 16:30Prof. Amotz Agnon - )The Hebrew University(. "Clustering in instrumental and pre-instrumental catalogs in the Holy Land"16:30 - 17:00Mr. Amir Yahav - )Director - National doctrine, training and exercises division, National Emergency Management Authority( "Uncertainty reduction in decision-making regarding Israel's immediate response to earthquakes"

Monday 20.6.16

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9:30 Opening of the second day - Dr Carmit Rapaport - Academic coordinator of the Master's Program on Coping with Emergencies and Disasters, University of Haifa9:30 - 10:30Prof. Dennis Mileti - )Colorado University at Boulder(. "Communication Planning"10:30 - 11:30Prof. James Goltz - "Connection between Forecasting and Preparedness at Different Levels )individuals, local, state, national("11:30 - 12:30Mrs. Kate Long - )Earthquake and Tsunamis Program, California Office of Emergency Services(. "Forecast Public Education and Outreach"

12:30 - 13:30Break )light lunch(

13:30 - 14:00Prof. Avi Kirschenbaum )Technion-Israel Institute of Technology(. "The Impact of Information Sources on Earthquake Preparedness"

14:00 - 14:30Col. )ret.( Joab Rosenburg - )CEO Epistema analytics(. " The Interpretation of Probability for Decision Makers"

14:30 - 15:00Gil Kleiman - )i-resilience(. "Crisis Media Management, an Aggressive Approach"

15:00 - 15:30Coffee break

15:30 - 16:00Stav Shapira - )Ben Gurion University(. "Integrating environmental and human-related risk factors in the assessment of earthquake casualties"

16:00 - 16:30Sigalit Shahar - )Hazmat(. "Operational Earthquake Forecasting: The Case of Industrial Plants"

Conclusion

Tuesday 21.6.16

For further information, please contact: 972-3-6974086 or sarit_biton@mod.gov.ilsarit_biton@mod.gov.il : 03-6974086,

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