ИИ как новая форма жизни
Transcript of ИИ как новая форма жизни
Alexey Turchin
Искусственный интеллект Новая форма жизни
1. Проблема безопасности ИИ (что нас ждет плохого) 2. Медицинский ИИ (что нас ждет хорошего) 3. Слияние человека и компьютера (как решить обе проблемы) 4. Освоение космоса с помощью роботов-репликаторов: жизнь в космосе
То, что сейчас называют ИИ – это не ИИ
AI spring
2012 – Neural networks 2016 – AI hype in media
❶ Narrow AI ❷ AGI = human level AI ❸ Superintelligence
AI epochs:
Narrow AI❶ Neural nets ❷ Expert system ❸ Genetic algorithms
Human level AI❶ Natural language processing ❷ Brain models ❸ Turing test
AGI
When: from 2020 to 2100
How long: From days to decades
Conservative estimate: 2050 and decades
Superintelligence Recursively self-improving
Will quickly become smarter than all human race Many are afraid of it: Bostrom, Musk
Levels of Superintelligence
❶ (Cyber)Weapons ❷ Unemployment ❸ Self-improving AI
AI safety
Paperclip maximizer
Smile maximizer
AI driven human
extinction
What is going on now in medical AI?
Major IT companies created medical AI departments:
• Google – Calico, Deepmind Health • Facebook – Chan-Zuckerberg
initiative • Intel – Intel health and science • IBM – IBM Watson • Microsoft – Microsoft Health, Allen
Brain Atlas, malaria research in Gates foundation
What is going on now?
Major IT companies created medical AI departments: • Global AI startup financing hit $5 bn in 2016 (Nikkei) • Medicine – 15% of total spendings
What is going on now? From Virtual Nurses To Drug Discovery:
106 Artificial Intelligence Startups In Healthcare
Deals to healthcare-focused AI startups went up from less than 20 in 2012 to nearly 70 in 2016.
}Research
Therapy
Uploading
Life extension
AI
2 New therapies
3 Robo-scientists
1 Diagnosis
2 Cure
3 Profilaxis
1 Cryonics
2 Recording
3 BCI
1 Cure aging
Medical AI ≠ Life extension AI
Startups
Deepmind Healthcare: Stream app. “Streaming the right information to the right clinician at the right time”
AiCure: confirms medication ingestion
Babylon Health: AI exper t system + videochat
Upgrade Network
Elon Mask: neural lace and Open AI: net of self improving individuals We: Best way for such merge: medical AI
• BCI + “neuronet” • Self-improvement • Cyborgization • Human-like AI assistants • Humoral interface • Social network of patients
Superintelligence and nanotechnologies
Nanorobots A) self-replicating B) externally controlled C) having narrow AI
Загрузка сознания в компьютер и слияние с
ИИ
Киборги как новая форма жизни
Superintelligence will solve death
Космос ответ на вопрос о новом
человеке
Для освоения космоса нужен искусственный
интеллект
Роботы в космосе: самовоспроизводящиеся
колонии и нанотех
Зонды фон Неймана для освоения Галактики