تطور الاستراتيجية الامريكية في الخليج

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١ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺞ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻷﻤﻴﺭﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺭﺍﺘﻴﺠﻴﺔ ﺘﻁﻭﺭ ﺸﻬﺎﺏ ﻓﺅﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺩﻜﺘﻭﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﻋﺩ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺼﺭ ﺍﻟﺤﺩﻴﺙ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺭﻴﺦ ﺃﺴﺘﺎﺫ) ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺭﻴﻥ ﺠﺎﻤﻌﺔ( ﻓﺨﺭﺍﻭﻱ ﻤﻜﺘﺒﺔ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺸﺭ ﻜﻠﻤﺔ ﺒﺎﻻﺤﺘﻴﺎﻁـﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺠﻴـﺔ ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺘﻨـﺎ ﻓـﻲ ﺒـﺎﻷﺨﺹ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻜﺘﺒﺔ ﺇﻨﺎﺀ ﺴﺒﻴل ﻓﻲ ﺍﻻﻨﺠﺎﺯ ﺒﻬﺫﺍ ﺨﻁﻭﺓ ﻨﺘﻘﺩﻡ ﺇﻨﻨﺎ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﻘﺎﻓ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﻴﺔ ﺍﻟـﺩﻋﻡ ﺇﻟـﻰ ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺩﺭﺓ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺭﻴﻥ ﺠﺎﻤﻌﺔ ﺇﻟﻰ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭ ﺒﺎﻟﺸﻜﺭ ﻨﺘﻭﺠﻪ ﺃﻥ ﺇﻻ ﻴﺴﻌﻨﺎ ﻭﻟﻬﺫﺍ ﻴﺔ، ﺒﻴﻨﻨﺎ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺎﻭﻥ ﺴﻠﺴﻠﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺒﺎﻜﻭﺭﺓ ﻴﻜﻭﻥ ﺃﻥ ﺭﺍﺠﻴﻨﺎ ﺍﻟﻜﺘﺎﺏ ﻫﺫﺍ ﻨﺸﺭ ﻓﻲ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻌﻨﻭﻱ ﺍﻟﻤﺎﺩﻱ. ﻤﻘﺩﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺭ ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺞ ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ ﺘﺠﺎﻩ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺭﺍﺘﻴﺠﻴﺔ ﻤﻨﻬﺞ ﻭﺘﺤﻠﻴل ﺭﺼﺩ ﺇﻟﻰ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﻫﺫﻩ ﺘﻬﺩﻑ ﺒـﺭﻭﺯ ﻤﻨـﺫ ﺒـﻲ ﻫﺫﺍ ﻴﻭﻤﻨﺎ ﻭﺤﺘﻰ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻨﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻟﻤﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺤﺭﺏ ﺒﻌﺩ ﺍﻟﻐﺭﺒﻲ ﻟﻠﻤﻌﺴﻜﺭ ﻜﻘﺎﺌﺩﺓ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺤﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻭﻻﻴﺎﺕ. ﻤـﻥ ﻭﻫـﺩﻓﻨﺎ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﺎﺭﺉ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺞ ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ ﺘﺠﺎﻩ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻭﺠﻬﺎﺕ ﺇﻴﻀﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺙ ﻫﺫﺍ. ﺍﻟـﺴﻴﺎﺴﺔ ﻋﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﻜﺘﻭﺏ ﻷﻥ ﺍﻟ ﻗﺒل ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺞ ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ ﺘﺠﺎﻩ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻟـﺩﻭﺭ ﺤﺠﻡ ﻤﻊ ﻜﻠﻴﺔ ﻴﺘﻨﺎﺴﺏ ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺭﺏ ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺠﻴﻴﻥ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺏ ﻜﺘﺎﺏ ﻭﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺴﻜﺭﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺴﻴﺔ ﺍﻷﺼﻌﺩﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ ﺘﺠﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺤﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻭﻻﻴﺎﺕ ﺘﻠﻌﺒﻪ ﺍﻟﺫﻱ. ﻫﻨـﺎﻙ ﺃﻥ ﺼـﺤﻴﺢ ﺒﻌﻤـﻕ ﺘﺤﻠل ﻟﻡ ﺍﻟﻜﺘﺎﺒﺎﺕ ﻫﺫﻩ ﻤﻌﻅﻡ ﻭﺠﺩﻨﺎ ﻭﻟﻜﻨﻨﺎ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ، ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺞ ﺘﺠﺎﻩ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺴﺔ ﺘﻨﺎﻭﻟﺕ ﻜﺜﻴﺭﺓ ﻤﺘﺎﺒﻌﺎﺕ ﻤـﻥ ﻜﺒﻴﺭﺍ ﺠﺯﺀﺍ ﺃﻥ ﻭﺠﺩﻨﺎ ﺃﺨﺭﻯ ﻨﺎﺤﻴﺔ ﻭﻤﻥ ﻨﺎﺤﻴﺔ ﻤﻥ ﻫﺫﺍ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ، ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺞ ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ ﺘﺠﺎﻩ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺭﺍﺘﻴﺠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻠﺏ ﺃﻭ ﺒﺎﻹﻴﺠﺎﺏ ﺫﻟﻙ ﻜﺎﻥ ﺴﻭﺍﺀ ﻤﺘﺤﻴﺯﺓ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺎﺕ ﻫﺫﻩ. ﺘﺤـﻭﻱ ﺍﻟﺘـﻲ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴـﺔ ﻫﺫﻩ ﺒﺩﺍﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﻁﺭﺤﻨﺎﻩ ﺴﺅﺍل ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ؟ ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺞ ﺩﻭل ﻤﻥ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺤﻜﻭﻤﺎﺕ ﺘﺭﻴﺩ ﻤﺎﺫﺍ ﺃﺭﺒﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﻤـﺼﺎﻟﺢ ﻟﺘﻁـﻭﺭ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺭﻴﺨﻲ ﺍﻟﺴﺭﺩ ﺒﻁﺭﻴﻘﺔ ﻋﻨﻪ ﺍﻹﺠﺎﺒﺔ ﻭﺤﺎﻭﻟﻨﺎ ﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭﺓ؟ ﻏﻴﺭ ﺃﻭ ﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭﺓ ﺒﻁﺭﻴﻘﺔ ﺼﻭل ﺍﻟـﺩﻭل ﻟﺤﺎﺠﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﻠﺒﻲ ﺍﻟﻨﻔﻁ ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻓﻲ ﺘﺘﻤﺜل ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺎﻟﺢ ﺘﻠﻙ ﺃﻜﺎﻨﺕ ﺴﻭﺍﺀ ﻭﺤﻠﻔﺎﺌﻬﺎ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻭﻻﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺎ ﺘﺩﻭﻴﺭ ﺇﻋﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ، ﻟﻠﺼﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﺴﻭﻕ ﺃﻫﻤﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻐﺭﺒﻴﺔ، ﺍﻟﻨﻔﻁﻴﺔ ﺌﺩﺍﺕ. ﻤﻨﻁﻘـﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺤﻠﻔﺎﺌﻬﺎ ﻭﻤﺼﺎﻟﺢ ﻤﺼﺎﻟﺤﻬﺎ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻟﻠﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅﺔ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺤﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻭﻻﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﺘﺒﻌﺘﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺍﻷﺴﺎﻟﻴﺏ ﻫﻲ ﻤﺎ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ؟ ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺞ ﺍﻻﺴـﺘﺭﺍﺘﻴﺠﻴﺔ ﺒﺭﺼـﺩ ﻭﺫﻟـﻙ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﻫﺫﻩ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺒﻘﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺜﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺼﻭل ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺴﺅﺍل ﻫﺫﺍ ﻋﻥ ﺍﻹﺠﺎﺒﺔ ﺤﺎﻭﻟﻨﺎ ﻭﻗﺩ ﺍﻟﻌ ﺍﻟﺨﻠﻴﺞ ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﻫـﺫﺍ ﻴﻭﻤﻨـﺎ ﻭﺤﺘﻰ ﺍﻟﺨﻤﺴﻴﻨﺎﺕ ﻋﻘﺩ ﻤﻨﺫ ﺭﺒﻲ. ﺃﻥ ﻋﻠـﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻜﻴـﺩ ﻤـﻥ ﺒـﺩ ﻭﻻ ﻓـﻲ ﻴـﺩﺨل ﺩﺍﺌﻤﺎ ﻜﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﻐﻴﺭ ﻭﺇﻨﻤﺎ ﺍﻟﻤﻀﻤﻭﻥ ﻓﻲ ﺘﻐﻴﻴﺭ ﺃﻱ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﻴﻁﺭﺃ ﻟﻡ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺭﺍﺘﻴﺠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﻬﺞ ﻤﺠﺎل. ﺍﻟﻐـﺭﺒﻴﻴ ﻭﺤﻠﻔﺎﺌﻬـﺎ ﻷﻤﺭﻴﻜـﺎ ﺍﻟـﻨﻔﻁ ﺘﺩﻓﻕ ﺍﺴﺘﻤﺭﺍﺭﻴﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺌﻤﺔ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺭﺍﺘﻴﺠﻴﺔ ﻫﺫﻩ ﺃﺴﺱ ﻭﺇﻥ ﺍﻟـﺴﻭﻓﻴﺘﻲ ﺍﻹﺘﺤـﺎﺩ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﻜﺫﻟﻙ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻫﻡ، ﺘﻬﺩﺩ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﻭﺒﺎﻷﺴﻌﺎﺭ ﻴﺭﻴﺩﻭﻨﻬﺎ، ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﻭﺒﺎﻟﻜﻤﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﺭﻗﻴﻴﻥ

Transcript of تطور الاستراتيجية الامريكية في الخليج

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