[창발적 오류의 인식과 대응 - #01] 3間 3C D3 - 서울대 한신갑 교수(사회학과)
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Transcript of [창발적 오류의 인식과 대응 - #01] 3間 3C D3 - 서울대 한신갑 교수(사회학과)
三間 3C D
한신갑사회학과
3
起 Solipsism
Clarke’s Law
When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.
62 년생 범띠
Perhaps the adjective “elderly” requires definition. In physics, mathematics, and astronautics it means over thirty; in the other disciplines, senile decay is sometimes postponed to the forties. There are, of course, glorious exceptions; but as every researcher just out of college knows, scientists of over fifty are good for nothing but board meetings, and should at all costs be kept out of the laboratory!
Human nature hasn’t changed in a very long time, and the veneer of technology that we’ve layered onto our lives hardly alters this fact.
— L. Weinstein, “Harvard Needs More Hackers," NYT (Op-Ed) 3/16/2005(1972)
HAZARDS OF PROPHECY
Prophecy is always a risky business.
Moral Failure of Nerves
Intellectual Failure of Imag-ination
TECHNOLOGICAL AGENCYOver-estimated or under-estimated?
사회조직사회구조 과학기술
Moral Failure of Nerves
Intellectual Failure of Imag-ination
[Zealotry]
[Heresy]
Type II Error(False Negative)
Type I Error(False Positive)
과 ( 寡 ) 과 ( 過 )
景 Sociologist v. Physicist
CULTURE MAKES STRUCTURAL FORCES CONCRETE.
→ Culture (including technology) as a transistor/transformer.→ Culture (including technology) as a filter/translator.
도시 ( 화 ) 와 공간 - 시간 - 인간
“World Without Distance”
1926
• Does the telephone make men more active or more lazy?
• Does the telephone break up home life and the old practice of visiting friends?
양적변화
• 규모 : bigger• 속도 : faster• 비용 : cheaper
질적전화
結 Doing ScienceSolving Puzzles
도시 ( 화 ) 와 공간 - 시간 -인간
Fischer on Urbanism
• Urbanism generally increases people’s ac-cess to people like themselves and to peo-ple unlike themselves -- simply by increas-ing the sheer numbers of both.
Fischer on Urbanism
• For people whose status is a majority or plurality, the increase in dissimilars that ur-banism brings may be of more conse-quence since they are now available in large numbers for the first time. The result: In cities majority people may know more minority people; they tend toward net-works heterogeneity.
Fischer on Urbanism
• For people in minority status, the increase in people similar to themselves is more consequential since they now have a large pool of like people to choose from for the first time. The result: In cities minority peo-ple know more minority people like them-selves; they tend toward network homo-geneity.
New (Virtual) Urbanism
解 Envelopes Pushed
Connection
Class
Culture
Group Size|
Heterogeneity|
IntergroupRelations
PersonalNetworks
|CulturalTastes
사회조직사회구조 과학기술
차별 /불평등구조
The 2nd Digital Di-
vide