Post on 19-Oct-2014
description
Dr. Michael Wohl
When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors that Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Co-authored by Dr. Jeffrey Derevensky, Dr. Rina Gupta, and Melissa Salmon
Dr. Michael J.A. Wohl (Carleton University)Dr. Rina Gupta (McGill University)Dr. Jeffrey Derevensky (McGill University)Melissa Salmon (Carleton University)
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Social Gaming Revenue - Worldwide (in Billions)
2012 2015-E
Source: Super Data Research
53% of Facebook users play social media
games (81 million people play at least one
game daily).
Social Media Games
There are currently 170 million social casino
gamers, well over triple the number of
online gamblers (Morgan Stanley, 2012).
A whopping amount of social
casino gamers
53% of Facebook users play social media
games (81 million people play at least one
game daily)…. many of which are social
casino games.
Social Casino Games
Estimated revenues (2012) from of social
casino games is U.S.$1.6 billion (SuperData
Research, 2012)
The Morgan Stanley Blue Paper (2012) highlighted the
importance of trying to migrate social casino gamblers
to become online gamblers.
The Hunt to Make More $$$
As exposure to a stimulus increases, the
most vulnerable are the first to be
“infected”
We might see increases in gambling
participation near epicenters of gambling(LaPlante & Shaffer, 2007)
At issue…
Play for fun Play for pay
Is there a link?
Focus groups
Objective:
1. Understanding factors that attract young adults to online gambling, including the potential role played by social media sites.
2. Avoid presuppositions influencing program of research
From the mouth of the gamer
Six focus groups were conducted:
1) Play-for-fun (N=30): Three focus groups of social casino gamblers, but who do not play online for money
2) Play-for-pay (n=21): Three focus groups with regular online gamblers
Method
Everyone who is participating in this group has indicated gambling online for money. That makes you the experts. We are turning to you to help us understand certain things related to online gambling activity. We are not looking to find out personal information on your play activity; we are looking for information in general.
1.For example, I’d like to gain a better understanding of the things that lead to online gambling in the first place. Based on what you know, what are the factors, the events, or the influences that result in a young person deciding to bet money on gambling activities online?
2.You know that social media sites have gambling-type games such as Texas-Hold’em or Sloto-mania. In your opinion, do you think experience with these games leads a person to seek online gambling sites? In other words, do these types of games serve as a form of initiation to gambling online with real money?
3.In your opinion, do you think people who gamble online have particular personality traits, or factors that are unique to them that make them more likely to gamble online?
4.There are a lot of gambling sites out there. How do you choose one over the other?
5.What are the features that render one online gambling site more appealing than another?
6.If you think about the sites that are “not good”, sites that you have navigated away from, what were the things you did not like?
7.What are the pros and cons of online gambling?
8.Once you are engaged in an online gambling session, what usually makes you decide that it is time to stop?
9.What strategies do people your age tend to use to minimize their risks? Are there common responsible gambling practices?
1.When you think about social media sites like Facebook, what is the first thought that comes to mind? What do you like best aboutsocial media? What do you like least?
2.You all must be aware of games that are offered on sites such as Facebook. I’m talking about games such as Farmville, Words with Friends, etc… What, in your opinion, are the benefits or downfalls of these games? Overall, do they contribute to your well-being? If not, in what way? Which games have the greatest appeal?
3.There are also gambling-type games such as Texas Hold’em and simulated casino play offered on these sites. Texas Hold’em is actually the most popular of all the games offered on Facebook (62 million fans on their page). What, do you think, is the appeal of these free gambling-type games?
4.Even though there is no real money exchanged, people do seem to get very caught up in the gambling-type games, often playing forlonger than intended. Due to recent developments, Facebook now allows online casinos to advertise on their site. What are your opinions on this? Would you ever click on the casino ads?
5.We are interested in your impressions (based on your own experiences or those of others whom you know) about what role, if any, social networking sites play in promoting or encouraging online gambling behavior (for real money).
6.Do you think individuals who never would have considered gambling online, will gamble now that they are exposed through thesesocial media sites?
7.Online casinos often offer “play for fun” options, allowing you to play without real money. In your opinion, what are some advantages or downfalls of these play-for-free options?
8.Thinking about the free games on social media sites as well as free-play options on online gambling sites, would people be likely to move from free games to paying games? Why or why not?
General Observations
Primary themes– Good for the Ego (Self-enhancement)
– social media is an integral and important part of daily life, and that to not be part of it is isolating (Socialization/ Social pressure to play)
– Increases skill on skill-based games (Skill building)
– Spending a lot of time spent playing (loss of control)
Play-for-fun Sample
Primary themes:
– Tendency to be more impulsive online (loss of control)
– Ease of access
– manipulations by online providers (including promotion/advertisement tactics)
Play-for-pay Sample
Comparison of expression
Play-for-fun participants: spontaneous mention of a
possible transfer to play-for-pay
Play-for-pay participants: Spontaneous mention of a
transfer happening
Commonality: FACEBOOK
“I DIDN’T UNDERSTAND HOW I GOT FROM ONE PLACE TO ANOTHER
PLACE, FROM PLAYING FOR FUN TO BEING IN TROUBLE.”
� Play-for-fun
� Social competition and/or connectedness (self-enhancement)
� Fun (excitement/entertainment)
� Training for real gambling (skill building)
� Play-for-pay
� Elevation of mood, feel better about oneself, relieve stress (coping)
� Enhancement of experience/win money (excitement/entertainment)
� Opportunities to learn (Skill building)
Clues in Motivation?
1) Minimal awareness that serious problems could arise from online gambling, despite their understanding of how easily one could lose control.
2) Felt immune to serious problems given they are “university educated” re: gambling
3) Online ≠ Real world
Sign of trouble ahead?
“You look at other people and they have scores that are ridiculously higher than you, and you like have to find a way to beat that score. And you waste the whole day and in the end it doesn’t matter because it’s not real. It’s in the fake world. There is regret afterwards”
From the mouth of a Play-for-fun
participant
“If you transfer from Facebook to online gambling, you still have the mentality that you are in a fake world and you are used to playing with fake money and you forget that the money you are spending is real.”
From the mouth of a Play-for-pay
Participant
LONGITUDINAL STUDY
Participants:
N=603
Student and community sample (via Amazon Mturk)
Method
Time 1: People who indicate they play for fun
Follow-ups: 6 month follow-up to be discussed
12, 24 months later (to be collected)
Longitudinal Study
LONGITUDINAL STUDY
Measures
• Where do you play?
• Motivation to start playing for fun: – Entertainment, Social, Stress reduction, Skill building
• Initiator of session play: – Friends posting scores
• Time spent playing
• Do you pay for credit?
Longitudinal Study
Where do you play?
Motivation for playing free games
5.13
2.87
4.26
3.50
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
Entertainment Socializing Stress Reduction Skill Building
• Entertainment: p = .004
• Socializing: p < .001
• Stress Reduction: p = .01
• Skill Building: p = .31
Motivations as predictor of
Facebook posts leading to play?
Multiple regression
• Entertainment: p = .59, Exp(B) = 1.13
• Socializing: p = .07, Exp(B) = .76
• Stress Reduction: p = .25, Exp(B) = 1.20
• Skill Building: p = .006, Exp(B) = 1.44
Motivations and paying for credits
Multiple logistic regression
The issue with paying for credits
2.00
4.20
2.94
2.21
4.81 4.83
0
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2
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5
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Impulsivity Craving I might play-for-pay
No
Yes
• Entertainment: p = .30
• Socializing: p < .001
• Stress Reduction: p < .001
• Skill Building: p = .73
Motivation as a predictor of
time spent
Multiple regression
LONGITUDINAL STUDY
Method of re-contact:
Reminder 2 weeks prior to date. Initial email and 2 reminder emails.
Participants:
N=182 to-date (of the 603 that completed the full survey)
Longitudinal Study:
Six-month follow-up (in process)
Play-for-fun to Play-for-pay
Narratives
1. Eventually I just wanted to see if I could win real money
2. I felt that I became great at the play-for-fun games
3. Had a little extra money, wanted to try it.
4. thought I could start making some extra cash.
5. Payout for play for fun was very "rewarding" (likely to be
replicated on play for pay)
6. I wanted more exciting experiences and wanted to make my
wins more meaningful.
7. Playing for fun not stimulating enough.
8. I just wanted to try spicing things up.
• Entertainment: p = .16, Exp(B) = .65
• Socializing: p = .56, Exp(B) = 1.12
• Stress Reduction: p = .22, Exp(B) = 1.28
• Skill Building: p = .98, Exp(B) = 1.00
Predicting transition: T1 motivation
Multiple logistic regression
Facebook posts:
p = .17, Exp(B) = 1.17
Predicting transition: T1 posting
Paying for free credits at T1:
p = .004, Exp(B) = 6.13
Predicting transition:
Paying for Credits at T1
Time spent playing:
p = .007, Exp(B) = 1.74
Predicting transition:
T1 time spent playing
Exposure
Exposure Study
Participants:
N=28 (to-date) young adults who don’t gamble online.
Procedure
Step 1: Played Candy Crush or Party Casino Slots
Step 2: Given $10 for participating
Step 3: Second Study Paradigm: Offered opportunity to use $10 is an unrelated gambling study.
Expressed Desire to Gamble
1. Casino Games as Prophylactic?/ Social Games as Catalyst?
“Playing slots on Facebook gives me the fix I need”
2. Game specific transfer?
Slot � Slots
Poker � Poker
“I don’t like slots, are there other games I can play?”
Possible Explanation
1. The need to assess the possible effect of preferred game.
2. The need to assess willingness to buy credits.
3. Possible demand effects
Limitations
People seem to recognize that they are being targeted online.
They also seem to Play-for-Fun to socialize and reduce stress
THE IMPACT OF CREDITS
THE IMPACT OF TIME SPENT!
THE IMPACT OF EXPOSURE!
In sum
Governments and operators have yet to articulate clear rules and procedures for social casin0 games. One reason for this lack of urgency is the paucity of knowledge regarding the impact of social gaming on the user.
At issues: accessibility and availability
The need: To keep an eye on convergence of gambling and social media � contributing to the normalization of gambling online.
Conclusion
DATA COLLECTION CONTINUING
Play for fun Play for pay